Exposure to antibiotics and risk of latent autoimmune diabetes in adults and type 2 diabetes: results from a Swedish case-control study (ESTRID) and the Norwegian HUNT study.

Aims/hypothesis: Some studies find an increased risk of type 1 diabetes in children exposed to antibiotics. We investigated if exposure to antibiotics increases the risk of latent autoimmune diabetes in adults (LADA) and type 2 diabetes.

Methods: We used data from a Swedish case-control study (Epidemiological Study of Risk Factors for LADA and Type 2 Diabetes [ESTRID]: LADA, n=597; type 2 diabetes, n=2065; control participants matched on participation time, n=2386) and a case-control study nested within the Norwegian Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT) (n=82/1279/2050). Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) codes indicating antibiotic dispensations were retrieved from the Swedish National Prescribed Drug Register and Norwegian Prescription Database. Multivariable adjusted ORs with 95% CIs were estimated by conditional logistic regression and pooled using fixed-effects inverse-variance weighting.

Results: We observed no increased risk of LADA with exposure to antibiotics up to 1 year (OR_pooled 1.15, 95% CI 0.93, 1.41) or 1-5 years (OR_pooled 0.98, 95% CI 0.80, 1.20) prior to diagnosis/matching for one or more vs no dispensation of any type of antibiotic. An increased risk was observed for one or more vs no dispensations of narrow-spectrum antibiotics, but not broad-spectrum antibiotics, 6-10 years prior to LADA diagnosis (OR_pooled 1.39, 95% CI 1.01, 1.91), which was driven by the Swedish data. There was little evidence of an increased risk of type 2 diabetes associated with antibiotic exposure 1-10 years prior to diagnosis.

Conclusions/interpretation: We found no evidence that exposure to broad-spectrum antibiotics up to 10 years prior to diagnosis increases the risk of LADA. There was some indication of increased LADA risk with exposure to narrow-spectrum antibiotics, which warrants further investigation.