Pediatric Early Warning Scores Before Rapid Response Poorly Predict Intensive Care Unit Transfers.

Background: The Pediatric Early Warning Score (PEWS) is a clinical tool used to identify children at risk for clinical deterioration, but its utility remains debated, particularly in high-resource settings. Our objective with this study was to assess the predictive performance of the PEWS for unplanned PICU transfers after pediatric rapid response team (RRT) activation.

Methods: A retrospective cohort study at a tertiary care academic children's hospital included all hospitalized patients up to 21 years old who had RRT activations between August 2021 and July 2022. Demographic and clinical data, the primary reason for RRT activation, and the modified Brighton PEWS were collected. The primary outcome was PICU transfer following RRT activation, and the secondary outcome was rapid escalation of care within 4 hours after RRT activation. Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) were calculated at multiple PEWS thresholds.

Results: Of 297 RRT activations in 244 patients, 183 (63%) resulted in a PICU transfer, 75% of which were due to respiratory concerns. The PEWS was recorded in 89% of RRT activations within the preceding 4 hours. There was no significant difference in the PEWS between patients with or without PICU transfer or rapid escalation of care. The sensitivity, specificity, and AUROC of PEWS for predicting PICU transfer or rapid escalation of care were low (AUROC 0.495-0.613).

Conclusions: PEWS within 4 hours before RRT activation was a poor predictor of PICU transfer or rapid escalation care. Further work is needed to develop a more sensitive and specific tool.