Prognostic significance of early and multiple recurrences after curative resection for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background: In hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), postoperative recurrence remains high. This study aimed to evaluate the recurrence patterns and prognosis of HCC after curative hepatectomy.

Methods: Among 352 patients with primary HCC who underwent initial hepatectomy between January 2002 and December 2022, 151 with recurrence were assessed for the relationship between recurrence pattern and prognosis.

Results: The early recurrence group (within 6 months postoperatively; n = 38) had significantly higher serum alpha-fetoprotein (p = 0.002), des-γ-carboxyprothrombin (DCP; p = 0.004) levels and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage (p < 0.001), larger tumor size (p < 0.001), higher incidence of multiple tumors (p = 0.002) and lower overall survival (OS) (p < 0.001) than the late recurrence group (> 6 months postoperatively; n = 113). The tumor size (p = 0.013) and BCLC stage (p = 0.001) were independent risk factors for early recurrence within 6 months in multivariate analysis. The multiple recurrence group (intrahepatic multinodular recurrence or distant metastasis; n = 89) had significantly lower prognostic nutritional index (p = 0.026), larger tumor size (p = 0.017), lower incidence of liver cirrhosis (p = 0.03) than the single recurrence group (single nodule recurrence; n = 62). The multiple recurrence group, especially patients with ≥ three intrahepatic nodules and distant metastases, had lower postoperative OS (p < 0.001) and shorter time to recurrence (p < 0.001) than the single recurrence group. When the patients were classified into three groups: late recurrence with one or two tumors (Group A; n = 74), early recurrence or three or more tumors or distant metastasis (Group B; n = 54), and early recurrence with three or more tumors or distant metastasis (Group C; n = 23), OS was significantly lower in Groups B and C than Group A (p < 0.001).

Conclusions: Patients with early recurrence within 6 months after surgery and three or more recurrence nodule or distant metastasis exhibited poor prognosis after initial recurrence, and they should be carefully followed up.