Hospital stays and probable dementia as predictors of relocation to long-term care facilities.

Objectives: This study aims to investigate the relocation of older adults in the US from community living to long-term care facilities (LTCFs). Specifically, it examines the predictive roles of possible and probable dementia and hospital stays in this complex health care transition.

Study design: Utilizing data from the National Health and Aging Trends Study, a longitudinal cohort study (2011-2019), we employed a panel data approach, which consists of multiple observations over time for the same participants, allowing us to account for both cross-sectional variations (differences between participants) and time-series variations (changes in the same participant over time).

Methods: The analysis involved longitudinal logistic regression models. Using the AD8 dementia screening interview, clock drawing test, immediate and delayed word recall test, orientation, and history of dementia diagnosis, we placed participants into categories of having no dementia, possible dementia, and probable dementia. A survey asked about hospital stays in the past year. Relocation to LTCFs was examined based on the changes to the living location.

Results: The proportion of individuals transitioning to LTCFs tripled between 2011 and 2019, emphasizing the need to understand and manage this health care transition. Hospital stays significantly increased the probability of moving to LTCFs, especially nursing homes. Probable dementia demonstrated a 3-fold increase, aligning with the rising prevalence of Alzheimer disease. Difficulty walking and climbing stairs significantly increased relocation probabilities.

Conclusions: The study findings emphasize complexity in late-life relocations influenced by dementia and hospital stays. Screening for cognitive function among community-dwelling older adults, particularly those with a history of hospital stays and mobility difficulties, can inform interventions and policies. Implications extend to health care policy, geriatric care, and the imperative for targeted interventions considering demographic variations. Future research should explore additional variables and address limitations to refine our understanding of the relocation process.