Yu-Ming Su, Ke-Min Jin, Hong-Wei Wang, Yan-Yan Wang, Xiao-Luan Yan, Kun Wang, Juan Li, Da Xu, Bao-Cai Xing
{"title":"新辅助化疗后手术切除结直肠肝转移瘤的生存预测:肿瘤反应结合基因和形态学评估评分。","authors":"Yu-Ming Su, Ke-Min Jin, Hong-Wei Wang, Yan-Yan Wang, Xiao-Luan Yan, Kun Wang, Juan Li, Da Xu, Bao-Cai Xing","doi":"10.1016/j.ejso.2024.108777","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is becoming routine for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) in patients with high risks of recurrence or in whom resection is difficult. This retrospective study aimed to establish a modified survival prediction model for patients with CRLM who underwent hepatectomy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>A total of 619 patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by hepatectomy between 2006 and 2021 were included and divided into training and validation groups at a ratio of 2:1. The model was established in training group and validated in validation group. Chemotherapy response was integrated into the genetic and morphological evaluation (GAME) score as a new NeoGAME model, with assigned points based on the hazard ratio in the multivariate Cox regression. The NeoGAME score grouping cutoff was divided using X-tile, and the predictive power was compared with that of traditional models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The 5-year overall survival were significantly different in the NeoGAME low-risk (0-2 points), medium-risk (3-4 points) and high-risk (≥5 points) groups (training group, P < 0.001; validation group, P = 0.0012). The area under the curve in predicting 5-year survival was 0.67 and 0.66 for the training and validation groups, respectively. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve showed better discrimination ability of NeoGAME than the GAME score in predicting 5-year survival.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The newly established NeoGAME score can predict survival more precisely for patients with CRLM receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Moreover, the model offers a useful tool for assessing tumor behavior and selecting a benefiting population for liver resection.</p>","PeriodicalId":11522,"journal":{"name":"Ejso","volume":" ","pages":"108777"},"PeriodicalIF":3.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Survival prediction of colorectal liver metastases underwent surgical resection after neoadjuvant chemotherapy: Tumor response combined with the genetic and morphological evaluation score.\",\"authors\":\"Yu-Ming Su, Ke-Min Jin, Hong-Wei Wang, Yan-Yan Wang, Xiao-Luan Yan, Kun Wang, Juan Li, Da Xu, Bao-Cai Xing\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ejso.2024.108777\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is becoming routine for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) in patients with high risks of recurrence or in whom resection is difficult. This retrospective study aimed to establish a modified survival prediction model for patients with CRLM who underwent hepatectomy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>A total of 619 patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by hepatectomy between 2006 and 2021 were included and divided into training and validation groups at a ratio of 2:1. The model was established in training group and validated in validation group. Chemotherapy response was integrated into the genetic and morphological evaluation (GAME) score as a new NeoGAME model, with assigned points based on the hazard ratio in the multivariate Cox regression. The NeoGAME score grouping cutoff was divided using X-tile, and the predictive power was compared with that of traditional models.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The 5-year overall survival were significantly different in the NeoGAME low-risk (0-2 points), medium-risk (3-4 points) and high-risk (≥5 points) groups (training group, P < 0.001; validation group, P = 0.0012). The area under the curve in predicting 5-year survival was 0.67 and 0.66 for the training and validation groups, respectively. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve showed better discrimination ability of NeoGAME than the GAME score in predicting 5-year survival.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The newly established NeoGAME score can predict survival more precisely for patients with CRLM receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Moreover, the model offers a useful tool for assessing tumor behavior and selecting a benefiting population for liver resection.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":11522,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Ejso\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"108777\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Ejso\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejso.2024.108777\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ONCOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Ejso","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejso.2024.108777","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ONCOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Survival prediction of colorectal liver metastases underwent surgical resection after neoadjuvant chemotherapy: Tumor response combined with the genetic and morphological evaluation score.
Introduction: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is becoming routine for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) in patients with high risks of recurrence or in whom resection is difficult. This retrospective study aimed to establish a modified survival prediction model for patients with CRLM who underwent hepatectomy after neoadjuvant chemotherapy.
Materials and methods: A total of 619 patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by hepatectomy between 2006 and 2021 were included and divided into training and validation groups at a ratio of 2:1. The model was established in training group and validated in validation group. Chemotherapy response was integrated into the genetic and morphological evaluation (GAME) score as a new NeoGAME model, with assigned points based on the hazard ratio in the multivariate Cox regression. The NeoGAME score grouping cutoff was divided using X-tile, and the predictive power was compared with that of traditional models.
Results: The 5-year overall survival were significantly different in the NeoGAME low-risk (0-2 points), medium-risk (3-4 points) and high-risk (≥5 points) groups (training group, P < 0.001; validation group, P = 0.0012). The area under the curve in predicting 5-year survival was 0.67 and 0.66 for the training and validation groups, respectively. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve showed better discrimination ability of NeoGAME than the GAME score in predicting 5-year survival.
Conclusions: The newly established NeoGAME score can predict survival more precisely for patients with CRLM receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Moreover, the model offers a useful tool for assessing tumor behavior and selecting a benefiting population for liver resection.
期刊介绍:
JSO - European Journal of Surgical Oncology ("the Journal of Cancer Surgery") is the Official Journal of the European Society of Surgical Oncology and BASO ~ the Association for Cancer Surgery.
The EJSO aims to advance surgical oncology research and practice through the publication of original research articles, review articles, editorials, debates and correspondence.