养老基金的长寿风险:最佳投资组合保险方法

IF 1.9 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Insurance Mathematics & Economics Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI:10.1016/j.insmatheco.2024.10.001
Marina Di Giacinto , Daniele Mancinelli , Mario Marino , Immacolata Oliva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了一个统一的框架,旨在为固定缴费养老金计划的成员提供最佳投资策略。我们的模型通过假设积累阶段的利率、劳动收入和死亡率的不确定性,保证最低退休储蓄水平,以目标年金来表示。为了保护积累的退休资本免受投资风险和长寿风险的影响,我们将保证终身年金的现值视为到达退休日期时应持有的基准财富,同时采用目标导向的比例投资组合策略来投资剩余财富。通过应用标准动态编程技术,我们确定了随机控制问题的闭式解,其目标是最大化最终盈余的预期效用,即累积财富与目标年金值之间的差额。我们进行了全面的数值分析,以评估长寿对投资政策的影响,突出了我们的建议对管理固定缴费计划的适用性,从而为理论研究成果提供了支持。
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Pension funds with longevity risk: An optimal portfolio insurance approach
We present a unified framework designed to provide an optimal investment strategy for members of a defined contribution pension plan. Our model guarantees a minimum retirement savings level, expressed as a target annuity, by assuming uncertainty in interest rates, labor income, and mortality during the accumulation phase. To protect the accumulated retirement capital against both investment and longevity risks, the present value of the guaranteed lifetime annuity is regarded as the baseline wealth to hold upon reaching the retirement date, while a purpose-oriented proportion portfolio strategy is employed to invest the residual wealth. By applying standard dynamic programming techniques, we determine a closed-form solution to the stochastic control problem with the objective of maximizing the expected utility of the final surplus, defined as the difference between the accumulated wealth and the target annuity value. The theoretical findings are bolstered by a comprehensive numerical analysis designed to assess the impact of longevity on investment policies, highlighting the suitability of our proposal for managing defined contribution schemes.
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来源期刊
Insurance Mathematics & Economics
Insurance Mathematics & Economics 管理科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
15.80%
发文量
90
审稿时长
17.3 weeks
期刊介绍: Insurance: Mathematics and Economics publishes leading research spanning all fields of actuarial science research. It appears six times per year and is the largest journal in actuarial science research around the world. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics is an international academic journal that aims to strengthen the communication between individuals and groups who develop and apply research results in actuarial science. The journal feels a particular obligation to facilitate closer cooperation between those who conduct research in insurance mathematics and quantitative insurance economics, and practicing actuaries who are interested in the implementation of the results. To this purpose, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics publishes high-quality articles of broad international interest, concerned with either the theory of insurance mathematics and quantitative insurance economics or the inventive application of it, including empirical or experimental results. Articles that combine several of these aspects are particularly considered.
期刊最新文献
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