Longitudinal Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Asymptomatic C9orf72 Mutation Carriers Distinguishes Phenoconverters to Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis or Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis With Frontotemporal Dementia.

Objective: We prospectively studied asymptomatic C9orf72 mutation carriers, identifying those developing amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) or frontotemporal dementia (FTD).

Methods: We enrolled 56 asymptomatic family members (AFM) with a C9orf72 mutation (AFM C9+), 132 non-carriers (AFM C9-), and 359 population-based controls. Using 3 T magnetic resonance imaging, we measured cortical thickness, gyrification, and subcortical volumes longitudinally. Linear mixed-effects models on non-converting AFM C9+ scans (n = 107) created a reference for these measurements, establishing individual atrophy patterns. Atrophy patterns from presymptomatic phenoconverters (n = 10 scans) served as a template for group comparisons and similarity assessments. Similarity with phenoconverters was quantified using Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) for cortical and Kullback-Leibler similarity (KLS) for subcortical measures. Using longitudinal similarity assessments, we predicted when participants would reach the average similarity level of phenoconverters at their first post-onset scan.

Results: Five AFM C9+ converted to ALS or ALS-FTD. Up to 6 years before symptoms, these phenoconverters exhibited significant atrophy in frontal, temporal, parietal, and cingulate cortex, along with smaller thalamus, hippocampus, and amygdala compared to other AFM C9+. Some non-converted AFM C9+ had high DSC and KLS, approaching values of phenoconverters, whereas others, along with AFM C9- and controls, had lower values. At age 80, we predicted 27.9% (95% confidence interval, 13.2-40.1%) of AFM C9+ and no AFM C9- would reach the same DSC as phenoconverters.

Interpretation: Distinctive atrophy patterns are visible years before symptom onset on presymptomatic scans of phenoconverters. Combining baseline and follow-up similarity measures may serve as a promising imaging biomarker for identifying those at risk of ALS or ALS-FTD. ANN NEUROL 2024.