{"title":"对冲农产品下跌风险:一种新颖的非参数核方法","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2024.106340","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using a nonparametric kernel method, this paper develops a weighted conditional value-at-risk hedge model to hedge downside risks in agricultural commodities. The model exhibits convexity, ensuring the acquisition of its global optimal solution. Simulations show that the nonparametric kernel method enhances the accuracy of the weighted conditional value-at-risk and hedge ratio determination, outperforming traditional estimation methods. Using major agricultural commodities, empirical evidence shows the superiority of the proposed model in reducing downside risks, compared to the minimum variance, minimum value-at-risk, and minimum conditional value-at-risk hedge models.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Hedging downside risk in agricultural commodities: A novel nonparametric kernel method\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.frl.2024.106340\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Using a nonparametric kernel method, this paper develops a weighted conditional value-at-risk hedge model to hedge downside risks in agricultural commodities. The model exhibits convexity, ensuring the acquisition of its global optimal solution. Simulations show that the nonparametric kernel method enhances the accuracy of the weighted conditional value-at-risk and hedge ratio determination, outperforming traditional estimation methods. Using major agricultural commodities, empirical evidence shows the superiority of the proposed model in reducing downside risks, compared to the minimum variance, minimum value-at-risk, and minimum conditional value-at-risk hedge models.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":12167,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Finance Research Letters\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":7.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Finance Research Letters\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612324013692\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Finance Research Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612324013692","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Hedging downside risk in agricultural commodities: A novel nonparametric kernel method
Using a nonparametric kernel method, this paper develops a weighted conditional value-at-risk hedge model to hedge downside risks in agricultural commodities. The model exhibits convexity, ensuring the acquisition of its global optimal solution. Simulations show that the nonparametric kernel method enhances the accuracy of the weighted conditional value-at-risk and hedge ratio determination, outperforming traditional estimation methods. Using major agricultural commodities, empirical evidence shows the superiority of the proposed model in reducing downside risks, compared to the minimum variance, minimum value-at-risk, and minimum conditional value-at-risk hedge models.
期刊介绍:
Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies.
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