市场会关注政治虚假信息吗?

IF 7.4 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Finance Research Letters Pub Date : 2024-10-28 DOI:10.1016/j.frl.2024.106366
Christopher A. Hartwell , Elena Hubschmid-Vierheilig
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引用次数: 0

摘要

确实如此,但并不是人们想象的那样。以 2016 年美国总统大选为例,我们发现,与候选人相关的大量虚假信息并不会影响广泛的指数股票回报。然而,强烈支持希拉里-克林顿的虚假信息与股票条件波动率的大幅降低有关,即使在控制了其他宏观经济新闻和新闻情绪的情况下也是如此。
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Do markets pay attention to political disinformation?
They do, but not in ways one might think. Using an example from the 2016 Presidential election in the United States, we show that days with heavy doses of disinformation related to the candidates do not affect broad index stock returns. However, disinformation that was strongly pro-Hillary Clinton was associated with a substantial lowering of conditional volatility of stocks, even when controlling for other macroeconomic news and news sentiment.
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来源期刊
Finance Research Letters
Finance Research Letters BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
11.10
自引率
14.40%
发文量
863
期刊介绍: Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies. Papers are invited in the following areas: Actuarial studies Alternative investments Asset Pricing Bankruptcy and liquidation Banks and other Depository Institutions Behavioral and experimental finance Bibliometric and Scientometric studies of finance Capital budgeting and corporate investment Capital markets and accounting Capital structure and payout policy Commodities Contagion, crises and interdependence Corporate governance Credit and fixed income markets and instruments Derivatives Emerging markets Energy Finance and Energy Markets Financial Econometrics Financial History Financial intermediation and money markets Financial markets and marketplaces Financial Mathematics and Econophysics Financial Regulation and Law Forecasting Frontier market studies International Finance Market efficiency, event studies Mergers, acquisitions and the market for corporate control Micro Finance Institutions Microstructure Non-bank Financial Institutions Personal Finance Portfolio choice and investing Real estate finance and investing Risk SME, Family and Entrepreneurial Finance
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