Retreating ice sheet caused a transition from cold-dry to cold-humid conditions in arid Central Asia

Water is critical for ecological systems in arid regions, making it imperative to understand how moisture in arid Central Asia (CA) responds to anthropogenic warming. The oscillation of warming and cooling events since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ∼24–19.5 ka) provides a window for exploring the relationship between moisture and temperature. Employing 109 luminescence ages derived from eight sand dune sediment cores in the Bayanbulak Basin in the CA, this study endeavors to reconstruct the evolution of sand accumulation, and by extension, moisture dynamics. We found that pre-Holocene sand accumulation was predominant during the LGM and Heinrich Stadial 1 (HS1, ∼18–14.6 ka), indicative of a cold-dry climate prevailing during these two cold stages. During the Holocene, sand accumulation during Early Holocene is significantly stronger than that during Middle-late Holocene, supporting a long-term wetting trend. Additionally, this study reveals that the colder Little Ice Age (LIA, ∼0.55–0.2 ka) exhibited a wetter condition compared to the warmer Medieval Warming Period (MWP, ∼1–0.55 ka), indicating a cold-humid climate during the LIA. Corroborated by TraCE-21ka (Transient Climate of the Last 21,000 Years) simulation, we propose that diminished evaporation over North Atlantic during the LGM and HS1 potentially led to a reduction in water vapor transported by westerlies to the CA. During the Middle and Late Holocene, increased evaporation over North Atlantic, attributed to decreased ice sheet, westerlies intensity became the primary limiting factor. Notably, stronger westerlies during the LIA could have contributed to elevated moisture levels compared to the MWP. These findings not only resolve the debate surrounding the transition from cold-dry to cold-humid conditions but also enhance our comprehension of future moisture variations.