可再生能源与化石燃料市场之间的相互作用:量化对量化和小波量化方法的新证据

IF 13.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Energy Economics Pub Date : 2024-10-29 DOI:10.1016/j.eneco.2024.108012
Oguzhan Ozcelebi , Rim El Khoury , Seong-Min Yoon
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文强调了全球能源行业二氧化碳排放量的空前增长,讨论了向可再生能源的重大转变,这种转变重塑了金融市场和投资格局。尽管发生了转变,但传统化石燃料能源仍对全球经济起着举足轻重的作用,影响着可再生能源市场,尤其是在金融危机期间。本研究采用先进的方法,即量化回归(QQR)和小波量化回归(WQR),研究了化石燃料个股与各种可再生能源资产(包括交易所交易基金(ETF)和收益证券)之间的相互作用。研究结果表明,这些市场之间存在着巨大的相互依存关系,在极端市场条件下,化石燃料股票对可再生能源资产产生了显著的负面影响。在动荡时期,可再生能源资产可作为避风港,在短期内抵御化石燃料股票的波动。相反,在正常市场条件下,虽然可再生能源 ETF 和收益证券可以对冲化石燃料的波动,但从长期来看,它们也可以起到分散投资的作用。研究结果强调了了解这些动态互动对制定有效投资战略和政策的重要性。该研究的见解对于投资者和政策制定者降低投资风险、促进向可持续能源系统的弹性过渡至关重要,同时强调需要制定全面的框架来管理化石燃料和可再生能源市场之间的相互联系。
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Interplay between renewable energy and fossil fuel markets: Fresh evidence from quantile-on-quantile and wavelet quantile approaches
Highlighting the unprecedented rise in CO2 emissions from the global energy sector, the paper discusses the significant shift towards renewable energy, which has reshaped financial markets and investment landscapes. Despite the transition, conventional fossil fuel energy remains pivotal to the global economy, influencing renewable energy markets, especially during financial crises. Using advanced methodologies, quantile-on-quantile regression (QQR) and wavelet quantile regression (WQR), this study investigates the interplay between individual fossil fuel stocks and various renewable energy assets, including exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and yieldcos. The findings reveal substantial interdependencies between these markets, with fossil fuel stocks notably negatively impacting renewable energy assets under extreme market conditions. During turbulent periods, renewable energy assets function as safe havens against the volatility of fossil fuel stocks in the short term. Conversely, under normal market conditions, while renewable energy ETFs and yieldcos can hedge against fossil fuel volatility, they can also serve as diversifiers in the long term. The results underscore the importance of understanding these dynamic interactions to develop effective investment strategies and policies. The study's insights are crucial for investors and policymakers in mitigating investment risks and fostering a resilient transition to sustainable energy systems, emphasizing the need for comprehensive frameworks to manage the interconnectedness between fossil fuel and renewable energy markets.
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来源期刊
Energy Economics
Energy Economics ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
18.60
自引率
12.50%
发文量
524
期刊介绍: Energy Economics is a field journal that focuses on energy economics and energy finance. It covers various themes including the exploitation, conversion, and use of energy, markets for energy commodities and derivatives, regulation and taxation, forecasting, environment and climate, international trade, development, and monetary policy. The journal welcomes contributions that utilize diverse methods such as experiments, surveys, econometrics, decomposition, simulation models, equilibrium models, optimization models, and analytical models. It publishes a combination of papers employing different methods to explore a wide range of topics. The journal's replication policy encourages the submission of replication studies, wherein researchers reproduce and extend the key results of original studies while explaining any differences. Energy Economics is indexed and abstracted in several databases including Environmental Abstracts, Fuel and Energy Abstracts, Social Sciences Citation Index, GEOBASE, Social & Behavioral Sciences, Journal of Economic Literature, INSPEC, and more.
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