Risk factors associated with short-term mortality in patients with candidemia and the predictive value of serum cytokine level

Background

Some pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines were significantly elevated in patients with candidemia patients, but no studies have included these cytokines in the analysis of risk factors for mortality of candidemia. This study aims to analyze the risk factors of short-term mortality of candidemia and the predictive value of serum cytokines.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed and compared the clinical features, risk factors and cytokine interleukin (IL)-6, interferon-γ (IFN-γ), IL-10 and IL-17 between survival group and death group in 53 patients with candidemia. Receiver operating of the characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was performed and figured up area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity values to assess the predictive power of independent factors associated with mortality.

Results

The overall in-hospital mortality rate of candidemia was 62.3 % (33/53), and the 30-day mortality rate was 52.8 % (28/53). The C. albicans accounting for 17.0 % (9/53), and the non-albicans Candida was 83.0 % (44/53). Serum IL-6 (p = 0.041, HR = 1.009), IFN-γ (p = 0.013, HR = 1.007, 95 %), procalcitonin (PCT) (p = 0.010, HR = 0.899) and Candida score (p = 0.033, HR = 1.659) were independent risk factors, while Initiation of targeted antifungal therapy within 48 h of positive blood cultures (BC) (P = 0.015, HR = 0.266) was a protective factor. The AUC of ROC for Candida score, serum IL-6, PCT, IFN-γ, and Initiation of targeted antifungal therapy within 48 h of positive BC showed 0.933, 0.841, 0.801, 0.732, 0.714, respectively. IL-6 and IFN-γ comprised good performing model for predicting 30-day and 90-day mortality, while IL-6 and IL-10 were the best combinations for predicting 90-day mortality.

Conclusions

Serum IL-6, IFN-γ, PCT, and Candida score can predict short-term mortality risk in patients with candidemia, while prompt and targeted antifungal treatment may reduce mortality. IL-6 could serve as a possible biomarker for predicting short-term mortality of candidemia and its combination with IL-10 or IFN-γ may further improve the predictive value.