评估气候变化对高山上以土地为基础的生计的影响:巴基斯坦吉尔吉特-巴尔蒂斯坦纳加尔地区的实证调查。

IF 3.4 3区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Heliyon Pub Date : 2024-10-30 eCollection Date: 2024-11-15 DOI:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e39877
Iftikhar Ali, Ashfaq Ahmad Shah, Bader Alhafi Alotaibi, Amjad Ali
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于人与自然环境之间复杂的相互作用,巴基斯坦高山地区以土地为基础的生计极易受到气候变化的影响。本研究采用混合方法探讨气候变化如何影响巴基斯坦纳加尔高山区以土地为基础的生计。通过对随机抽取的 430 名农民进行结构化家庭调查,并辅以焦点小组讨论和关键信息提供者访谈收集数据。调查结果显示,87.7% 的农民观察到了气候变化的负面影响,如作物病害增加、灌溉用水减少、作物产量降低等。双变量结果表明,与耕作方法有关的因素,如耕作经验和种植区域,对农民对影响的看法有很大影响。研究强调,迫切需要政府进行有针对性的干预和农业规划,以提高纳加尔地区农民的抗灾能力。研究呼吁改善灌溉、作物疾病管理以及针对高山耕作方式的支持。研究强调了制定适应战略以保护脆弱的农业社区免受气候变化影响的重要性,并支持采取有效的自主适应措施的必要性。这项研究有助于更好地了解气候变化对高山农业的影响,并强调了保护脆弱农业社区的必要性。
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Assessing the impacts of climate change on high mountain land-based livelihoods: An empirical investigation in District Nagar, Gilgit-Baltistan, Pakistan.

Land-based livelihoods in Pakistan's high mountain regions are highly vulnerable to climate change due to the complex interactions between people and their natural environment. This study uses a mixed-method approach to explore how climate change affects land-based livelihoods in the high mountain Nagar District, Pakistan. Data were collected using a structured household survey of 430 randomly selected farmers, supplemented by focus group discussions and key informant interviews. The findings reveal that 87.7 % of farmers have observed negative impacts of climate change, such as increased crop diseases, reduced water for irrigation, and lower crop yields. Bivariate results indicate that factors related to farming practices, such as farming experience and cropping zones, significantly influence farmers' perceptions of impacts. The study emphasizes the urgent need for targeted government intervention and agricultural planning to boost the resilience of farmers in Nagar District. It calls for improved irrigation, crop disease management, and support tailored to high-mountain farming practices. The research highlights the importance of developing adaptation strategies to protect vulnerable farming communities from climate change impacts and supports the need for effective autonomous adaptation measures. This research contributes to a better understanding of climate change impacts on high-mountain agriculture and emphasizes the need to safeguard vulnerable farming communities.

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来源期刊
Heliyon
Heliyon MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES-
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
2.50%
发文量
2793
期刊介绍: Heliyon is an all-science, open access journal that is part of the Cell Press family. Any paper reporting scientifically accurate and valuable research, which adheres to accepted ethical and scientific publishing standards, will be considered for publication. Our growing team of dedicated section editors, along with our in-house team, handle your paper and manage the publication process end-to-end, giving your research the editorial support it deserves.
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