奥运会影响二氧化碳排放吗?跨国分析

Q1 Social Sciences Global Transitions Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.glt.2024.10.003
Angelique Ceccon, Andrew Hargrove, Jamie Sommer
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近几十年来,学者和从业人员越来越关注奥运会等大型体育赛事的可持续性。尽管人们对奥运会的碳足迹以及未来管理奥运会二氧化碳排放的尝试进行了大量讨论,但据我们所知,将奥运会活动置于跨国背景下的实证研究却很少,这使我们能够评估随着时间的推移以及与其他国家的比较,奥运会对跨国二氧化碳排放的影响,而不是作为一个孤立的活动。这一点非常重要,因为奥运会产生的二氧化碳排放不仅与主办国有关,而且由于奥运会的旅行和贸易水平,其排放会更加分散。此外,跨国定量方法可以帮助我们了解举办奥运会对二氧化碳排放的整体影响,这可以提供一个更大、更长远的视角来批评和修正围绕此类活动的指导方针和原则。为此,我们采用双向固定效应回归分析法,对 1991 年至 2019 年期间 131 个国家的样本进行分析,以评估奥运会如何影响跨国二氧化碳排放。我们发现,即使控制了国内生产总值、人口、贸易、农业和制造业等相关因素,在奥运会举办前两年和举办当年,主办国的二氧化碳排放量都会显著增加。这种影响在不同国家和不同时期都是一致的。不过,我们也发现,活动结束后,二氧化碳排放量并没有继续增加。我们的分析表明,一个国家的排放量会在赛事结束后的一年内恢复到奥运会前的水平。
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Do the Olympics impact CO2 emissions? A cross-national analysis
In recent decades scholars and practitioners have grown concerned about the sustainability of mega sporting events, such as the Olympics. While there has been much debate concerning the carbon footprint of the Olympics, and attempts to manage CO2 emissions of the event in the future, there is little empirical research to our knowledge that puts the Olympics events in a cross-national context, which would enable us to assess how the Olympics, over time and compared to other countries, has impacted CO2 emissions cross-nationally, rather than as an isolated event. This is important because emissions from the Olympics are not just bound to the hosting nation but are more diffuse given the level of travel and trade customary to the event. Moreover, a cross-national quantitative approach can help us understand the overall impact of hosting the Olympics on CO2 emissions, which may provide a larger and longer perspective from which to critique and amend guidelines and principles surrounding such events. To do so, we use two-way fixed effects regression analysis for a sample of 131 nations from 1991 to 2019 to assess how the Olympics impacts CO2 emissions cross-nationally. We find that both in the two years preceding an Olympics event and in the year of the event CO2 emissions of the hosting nation are significantly increased, even while controlling for relevant factors such as GDP, population, trade, agriculture, and manufacturing. This impact is consistent across countries and across time. However, we also find that CO2 emissions do not remain increased once the event is finished. Our analysis shows that emissions in a nation return to pre-Olympics levels in the year following the event.
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来源期刊
Global Transitions
Global Transitions Social Sciences-Development
CiteScore
18.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
1
审稿时长
20 weeks
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