介质对疾病渐进动态影响的数学研究

Lahcen Boulaasair , Hassane Bouzahir , N. Seshagiri Rao , Salma Haque , Nabil Mlaiki
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了一种考虑到媒体报道影响的随机流行病模型的渐进行为。最初的重点在于确定导致疾病指数式消亡的条件。此外,我们还研究了代表总人口的随机过程 N(t) 的概率分布向通过福克-普朗克方程计算密度的一维随机过程的弱收敛性。随后,我们证明了疾病的持续性,并利用 Has'minskii 理论确定了我们的随机流行病模型存在唯一的遍历静态分布。最后,我们进行了数值模拟来验证理论结论。
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A mathematical study of the influence of media on the asymptotic dynamics of diseases
This study explores the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic epidemic model that accounts for the impact of media coverage. The initial focus lies on determining the conditions leading to the exponential extinction of the disease. Additionally, we investigate the weak convergence of the probability distribution of the stochastic process N(t), representing the total population, to a one-dimensional stochastic process with density calculated through the Fokker–Planck equation. Subsequently, we demonstrate the persistent nature of the disease and utilize Has’minskii theory to establish the presence of a unique ergodic stationary distribution for our stochastic epidemic model. Finally, numerical simulations are conducted to validate the theoretical findings.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
138
审稿时长
14 weeks
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