用多维性能指标对城市轨道交通基础设施进行基于网络的复原力评估

IF 2.8 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications Pub Date : 2024-11-09 DOI:10.1016/j.physa.2024.130211
Mingchang Zhu , Xiaoqing Zeng , Peiran Ying , Lixia Bao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着城市和公共交通的发展,城市轨道交通网络(URTN)变得越来越复杂,逐渐演变成多层次、错综复杂的系统。运行环境复杂,突发事件频发,对整个网络造成重大影响。因此,轨道交通网络应对风险攻击的弹性能力已成为一个重要的研究领域。本文构建了包含城市轨道交通和郊区轨道交通的双层 URTN 模型,提出了子网络的邻接矩阵和耦合机制。然后,综合考虑网络效率、网络结构熵和单位时间内的出行次数,探讨了 URTN 的性能。通过考虑中断情况下的乘客出行选择,我们开发了基于广义旅行时间成本的改进型 Logit 随机用户均衡(SUE)乘客分配模型,并引入了车站的故障程度,以预测乘客流动路径。利用弹性变化曲线对攻击场景和恢复策略提出了多维弹性评估模型,并通过 AHP 方法确定指标权重系数,建立了综合网络性能系统。最后,我们以上海 URT 网络为案例,探讨了 URT 网络在早高峰的恢复能力,并模拟了不同故障场景下的网络恢复能力。结果表明,提出的模型可以评估上海地铁网络在随机故障和恶意故障下的弹性,前者的综合性能损失较小,弹性较大。此外,还进行了敏感性分析,探讨了故障车站数量、车站故障程度和恢复能力对网络弹性的影响。本研究为城市管理者和建设者在网络结构和应急管理方面提供了理论支持,并提出了相关建议。
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Network-based resilience assessment of an urban rail transit infrastructure with a multi-dimensional performance metric
With urban and public transportation development, the urban rail transit networks (URTN) become increasingly complex, evolving into multi-layer and intricate systems. The operating environment is complex, and the rising frequency of emergencies significantly impacts the entire network. Consequently, the resilient ability of URTN to deal with risk attacks has become an important research field. In this paper, a bilayer URTN model is constructed, encompassing urban and suburban rail transit, proposing the adjacency matrix and the coupling mechanism of subnetworks. Then, the performance of a URTN jointly considering network efficiency, network structure entropy, and the number of trips per unit time is addressed. By considering passenger travel alternatives under disruptions, we develop an improved Logit stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) passenger assignment model based on generalized travel time costs, introducing the failure degree of the stations, to predict passenger flow paths. A multi-dimensional resilience assessment model is proposed using the resilience change curve for attack scenarios and recovery strategies, and a comprehensive network performance system through the AHP method to determine the weight coefficients of indicators. Finally, we present a case study based on the Shanghai URT network to explore the resilience of URTN in the morning peak and simulate the network resilience under different failure scenarios. The results indicate that the proposed model can assess the resilience of the Shanghai MRTN under random and malicious failure, and the former has less comprehensive performance losses and greater resilience. Additionally, the sensitivity analysis is conducted to explore the impact of the number of failed stations, the failure degree of stations, and recovery ability on network resilience. This study provides theoretical support for urban managers and builders regarding network structure and emergency management, and offers relevant suggestions.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
9.10%
发文量
852
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications Recognized by the European Physical Society Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications. Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents. Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.
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