规避风险的算法支持和库存管理

IF 6 2区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE European Journal of Operational Research Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI:10.1016/j.ejor.2024.11.013
Pranadharthiharan Narayanan, Jeeva Somasundaram, Matthias Seifert
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究管理者如何根据特定风险规避水平的算法建议分配资源。利用锚定和调整启发式,我们得出了自己的预测,并在一系列多项目新闻供应商实验中进行了检验。我们发现,高度规避风险的算法推荐会对订单决策产生强烈而持久的影响,即使在推荐不再可用之后也是如此。此外,我们还表明,无论建议来源(即人工与算法)和决策自主性(即算法是外部指定的还是受试者自己选择的)等因素如何,这些影响都是相似的。最后,我们将风险态度的影响与锚定距离的影响区分开来,发现受试者会选择性地调整他们的订单决策,更多地依赖与他们固有风险偏好相反的算法建议。我们的研究结果表明,企业可以战略性地利用规避风险的算法工具来改进库存决策,同时保留管理者的自主权。
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Risk-averse algorithmic support and inventory management
We study how managers allocate resources in response to algorithmic recommendations that are programmed with specific levels of risk aversion. Using the anchoring and adjustment heuristic, we derive our predictions and test them in a series of multi-item newsvendor experiments. We find that highly risk-averse algorithmic recommendations have a strong and persistent influence on order decisions, even after the recommendations are no longer available. Furthermore, we show that these effects are similar regardless of factors such as source of advice (i.e., human vs. algorithm) and decision autonomy (i.e., whether the algorithm is externally assigned or chosen by the subjects themselves). Finally, we disentangle the effect of risk attitude from that of anchor distance and find that subjects selectively adjust their order decisions by relying more on algorithmic advice that contrasts with their inherent risk preferences. Our findings suggest that organizations can strategically utilize risk-averse algorithmic tools to improve inventory decisions while preserving managerial autonomy.
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来源期刊
European Journal of Operational Research
European Journal of Operational Research 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学
CiteScore
11.90
自引率
9.40%
发文量
786
审稿时长
8.2 months
期刊介绍: The European Journal of Operational Research (EJOR) publishes high quality, original papers that contribute to the methodology of operational research (OR) and to the practice of decision making.
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