为什么我们不喜欢通货膨胀?

IF 2.7 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Brookings Papers on Economic Activity Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI:10.1353/eca.2024.a943913
Stefanie Stantcheva
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文为席勒(Shiller,1997 年)提出的一个长期问题提供了新的证据:为什么我们不喜欢通货膨胀?我对美国人口中的代表性样本进行了两次调查,以了解人们对通货膨胀影响的看法及其反应。人们反感通货膨胀的主要原因是普遍认为通货膨胀削弱了他们的购买力,因为个人工资和总体工资的增长似乎都赶不上物价上涨的速度。因此,受访者表示不得不对预算和行为做出代价高昂的调整,尤其是在低收入群体中。通货膨胀还会引发压力、情绪反应和不公平感,因为高收入人群的工资在通货膨胀中增长更快。许多受访者认为,企业在制定工资时有很大的自由裁量权,为了提高利润而选择不提高工资,而不是受市场动态所迫。受访者通常不承认通货膨胀可能带来的积极影响,如降低失业率或增强经济活动。在各种经济和社会问题中,通货膨胀的优先级最高,受访者将其归咎于政府和企业。我还强调了不同党派以及不同收入群体对通货膨胀态度的严重两极分化。
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Why Do We Dislike Inflation?

This paper provides new evidence on a long-standing question asked by Shiller (1997): why do we dislike inflation? I conducted two surveys on representative samples of the US population to elicit people's perceptions about the impacts of inflation and their reactions to it. The predominant reason for people's aversion to inflation is the widespread belief that it diminishes their buying power, as neither personal nor general wage increases seem to match the pace of rising prices. As a result, respondents report having to make costly adjustments in their budgets and behaviors, especially among lower income groups. Inflation also provokes stress, emotional responses, and a sense of inequity, as the wages of high-income individuals are perceived to grow more rapidly amid inflation. Many respondents believe that firms have considerable discretion in setting wages, opting not to raise them in order to boost profits, rather than being compelled by market dynamics. The potential positive associations of inflation, such as with reduced unemployment or enhanced economic activity, are typically not recognized by respondents. Inflation ranks high in priority among various economic and social issues, with respondents blaming the government and businesses for it. I also highlight a substantial polarization in attitudes toward inflation along partisan lines, as well as across income groups.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
12
期刊介绍: The Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (BPEA) is a semi-annual academic conference and journal that pairs rigorous research with real-time policy analysis to address the most urgent economic challenges of the day. Working drafts of the papers are presented and discussed at conferences typically held twice each year, and the final versions of the papers and comments along with summaries of the general discussions are published in the journal several months later. The views expressed by the authors, discussants and conference participants in BPEA are strictly those of the authors, discussants and conference participants, and not of the Brookings Institution. As an independent think tank, the Brookings Institution does not take institutional positions on any issue.
期刊最新文献
Why Do We Dislike Inflation? Changing Central Bank Pressures and Inflation Sustained Debt Reduction: The Jamaica Exception The Emergence of a Uniform Business Cycle in the United States: Evidence from New Claims-Based Unemployment Data The Evolution of Banking in the 21st Century: Evidence and Regulatory Implications
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