对新错误信息的党派信仰是对准确性激励措施的抵制。

IF 2.2 Q2 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES PNAS nexus Pub Date : 2024-11-11 eCollection Date: 2024-11-01 DOI:10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae506
Jonas Stein, Marc Keuschnigg, Arnout van de Rijt
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人们为什么会接受受意识形态欢迎的错误信息,一种解释是这些信息缺乏诚意。与不真诚假说相一致的是,过去的实验表明,当准确性受到激励时,对公开报道的统计数据和被揭穿的新闻标题的真实性评估偏差往往会大大减少。然而,在网上遇到的许多声明都是以前从未见过的,很难对其真实性进行评估。我们假设,当面对不熟悉的内容时,不确定的党徒会形成与意识形态一致的真诚信念。在三项实验研究中,1,344 名美国保守派和自由派参与者对 20 个政治敏感言论的真实性进行了评估,这些言论要么证实了只有专家才知道的社会科学证据,要么与之相悖。正如假设的那样,分析表明,激励措施未能纠正大多数意识形态差异对声明真实性的认知。在准确性评估中,66% 到 78% 的党派差异依然存在,即使金钱赌注提高到了超出以往研究的水平。参与者对其错误信念表现出的自信程度令人惊讶,因为当参与者可以安全地避免对其不确定的陈述进行评分,而又没有金钱损失时,偏差并没有减少。这些研究结果表明,惩戒性干预措施在减少虚假陈述表达方面的能力是有限的,因为许多目标个体真诚地相信这些陈述是真实的。
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Partisan belief in new misinformation is resistant to accuracy incentives.

One explanation for why people accept ideologically welcome misinformation is that they are insincere. Consistent with the insincerity hypothesis, past experiments have demonstrated that bias in the veracity assessment of publicly reported statistics and debunked news headlines often diminishes considerably when accuracy is incentivized. Many statements encountered online, however, constitute previously unseen claims that are difficult to evaluate the veracity of. We hypothesize that when confronted with unfamiliar content, unsure partisans will form sincere beliefs that are ideologically aligned. Across three experimental studies, 1,344 conservative and liberal US participants assessed the veracity of 20 politically sensitive statements that either confirmed or contradicted social science evidence only known to experts. As hypothesized, analyses show that incentives failed to correct most ideological differences in the perceived veracity of statements. Sixty six to 78% of partisan differences in accuracy assessment persisted even when monetary stakes were raised beyond levels in prior studies. Participants displayed a surprising degree of confidence in their erroneous beliefs, as bias was not reduced when participants could safely avoid rating statements they were unsure about, without monetary loss. These findings suggest limits to the ability of disciplining interventions to reduce the expression of false statements, because many of the targeted individuals sincerely believe them to be true.

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