数字经济对中国老龄事业高质量发展的影响机制与空间溢出效应。

IF 3.5 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH BMC Public Health Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI:10.1186/s12889-024-20750-z
Rong Peng, Mingshan Huang, Xueqin Deng, Yingying Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:数字化和人口老龄化对老龄事业的发展产生了深远的影响,为养老服务体系带来了挑战和机遇。本研究探讨了数字经济对中国老龄事业高质量发展(HQD)的影响:基于中国大陆31个省份2013-2021年的面板数据,探讨数字经济推动老龄事业高质量发展的影响机制及其空间溢出效应。采用基准回归模型研究数字经济发展水平对老龄事业总部发展的影响。中介效应模型用于探讨数字经济通过中介变量的影响对老龄事业总部数据的间接影响。然后,利用空间面板模型分析数字经济对老龄事业总部数据的空间溢出效应:数字经济具有正向效应(系数=0.1530,P值为结论):数字经济可以通过转变第三产业的发展方式,极大地促进老龄事业总部的发展。数字经济的提升具有显著的空间溢出效应。本研究丰富了现有文献,提出了通过数字经济和第三产业提升老龄事业总部基地的有效途径。
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Impact mechanism and spatial spillover effect of the digital economy on the high-quality development of undertakings for the aged in China.

Background: Digitalization and population aging have had a profound impact on the development of undertakings for the aged, which brings challenges as well as opportunities for elder care system. This study examines the impact of the digital economy on the high-quality development (HQD) of undertakings for the aged in China.

Methods: Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in mainland China from 2013 to 2021, this study explores the influence mechanism of the HQD of undertakings for the aged driven by the digital economy and its spatial spillover effects. The benchmark regression model is used to investigate the impact of the development level of the digital economy on the HQD of undertakings for the aged. The mediation effect model is used to explore the indirect effects of the digital economy on the HQD of undertakings for the aged through the influence of the intermediary variable. The spatial panel model is then used to analyze the spatial spillover effect of the digital economy on the HQD of undertakings for the aged.

Results: The digital economy has a positive effect (coefficient = 0.1530, P-value < 0.01) on the local HQD of undertakings for the aged and a negative effect (coefficient = - 0.1012, P-value < 0.01) on the level of the HQD of undertakings for the aged in neighboring areas after controlling for other variables. The mediation effect of the proportion of the tertiary industry in GDP accounts for 6.6% of the total effect of the digital economy on the HQD of undertakings for the aged.

Conclusions: The digital economy can significantly promote the HQD of undertakings for the aged by transforming the development of the tertiary industry. The improvement in the digital economy has a significant spatial spillover effect. This research enriches the existing body of literature by suggesting effective ways to enhance the HQD of undertakings for the aged through the digital economy and the tertiary industry.

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来源期刊
BMC Public Health
BMC Public Health 医学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
6.50
自引率
4.40%
发文量
2108
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: BMC Public Health is an open access, peer-reviewed journal that considers articles on the epidemiology of disease and the understanding of all aspects of public health. The journal has a special focus on the social determinants of health, the environmental, behavioral, and occupational correlates of health and disease, and the impact of health policies, practices and interventions on the community.
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