用于估算复杂异质流域缺失悬浮泥沙日负荷的区域 ANN 模型

IF 3.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Journal of Geochemical Exploration Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI:10.1016/j.gexplo.2024.107643
Mohd Yawar Ali Khan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了降低监测河流悬浮泥沙负荷(SSL)的相关成本,有必要创建更具成本效益且易于测量的间接估算方法,这种方法依赖于与其他变量的相互作用。这项工作引入了一种新方法,用于评估区域模型的能力,以将未测量的 SSL 扩大到原位数据较少、水文地理复杂的不同区域的测量地点。这些估算是利用排水量(Q)数据,利用基于人工神经网络(ANN)前馈反向传播(FFBP)技术的拉姆甘加河流域模型得出的。这项工作证实了人工神经网络在喜马拉雅山地区模拟自然河流系统复杂非线性动态的实际能力和实用性。建模方法基于 2007 年至 2009 年收集的每日 Q 值和 SSL 数据。初始阶段包括利用 Matlab(MATLAB R2015a)中的 FFBP 算法开发和训练 ANN。利用枚举过程对网络进行优化。优化网络随后被用于预测莫拉达巴德(MBD)测站的 SSL 值,这些值是未经测量的参数。第二阶段包括验证 MBD 的 SSL 预测值(未测量),利用这些预测值估算达布里(DBI)测站的 SSL 值。将模型预测值与 DBI 的 SSL 真实观测值进行对比。最佳网络的 R2 值为 0.998,MSE 为 0.00112。这项研究为建立 ANN 模型提供了宝贵的见解,并强调了理解流域及其影响因素对于有效模拟 SSL 的重要性。这项研究表明,即使在不同的地理区域,所提出的方法也能对无测站流域进行高效的区域流量估算。
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Regional ANN model for estimating missing daily suspended sediment load in complex, heterogeneous catchments
To reduce the costs associated with monitoring suspended sediment load (SSL) in rivers, creating more cost-effective and easily measurable indirect estimation methodologies that rely on interactions with other variables is necessary. This work introduces a new method to assess the capability of regional models to expand ungauged SSL to gauging locations in a diverse region with little in situ data and complex hydrography. The estimates were derived using discharge (Q) data, utilizing models based on artificial neural network (ANN) feedforward backpropagation (FFBP) techniques for the Ramganga River Basin. This work confirms the practical capacity and utility of ANN for simulating intricate nonlinear dynamics in natural river systems in the context of the Himalayas. The modelling method is based on the daily Q and SSL data collected from 2007 to 2009. The initial phase involved developing and training the ANN utilizing the FFBP Algorithm within the Matlab (MATLAB R2015a). The networks were optimized utilizing the process of enumeration. The optimal network was subsequently employed to forecast the SSL values, which are ungauged parameters, at the Moradabad (MBD) gauging site. The second stage involves validating the predicted (ungauged) SSL values of MBD by utilizing them to estimate the SSL values of Dabri (DBI) gauged sites. The predicted values obtained from the model are contrasted with the authentic observed values of SSL at DBI. The R2 value for the optimal network was found to be 0.998, accompanied by an MSE of 0.00112. The study offers valuable insights into the modelling of ANN and emphasizes the significance of comprehending a river basin and its influencing components to simulate the SSL effectively. This study demonstrates that the proposed methodology allows for highly efficient regional streamflow estimation in ungauged basins, even in diverse geographical areas.
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来源期刊
Journal of Geochemical Exploration
Journal of Geochemical Exploration 地学-地球化学与地球物理
CiteScore
7.40
自引率
7.70%
发文量
148
审稿时长
8.1 months
期刊介绍: Journal of Geochemical Exploration is mostly dedicated to publication of original studies in exploration and environmental geochemistry and related topics. Contributions considered of prevalent interest for the journal include researches based on the application of innovative methods to: define the genesis and the evolution of mineral deposits including transfer of elements in large-scale mineralized areas. analyze complex systems at the boundaries between bio-geochemistry, metal transport and mineral accumulation. evaluate effects of historical mining activities on the surface environment. trace pollutant sources and define their fate and transport models in the near-surface and surface environments involving solid, fluid and aerial matrices. assess and quantify natural and technogenic radioactivity in the environment. determine geochemical anomalies and set baseline reference values using compositional data analysis, multivariate statistics and geo-spatial analysis. assess the impacts of anthropogenic contamination on ecosystems and human health at local and regional scale to prioritize and classify risks through deterministic and stochastic approaches. Papers dedicated to the presentation of newly developed methods in analytical geochemistry to be applied in the field or in laboratory are also within the topics of interest for the journal.
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