可持续制氢的决策支持系统:以沙特阿拉伯为例

IF 4.4 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Energy for Sustainable Development Pub Date : 2024-11-29 DOI:10.1016/j.esd.2024.101603
Sultan Kaheel , Gasem Fallatah , Patrick Luk , Khalifa Aliyu Ibrahim , Zhenhua Luo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球能源行业正在向可持续能源转型,氢因其高能量含量和清洁燃烧特性而成为一种有前景的替代能源。氢在能源领域的整合代表着朝着更清洁、更绿色未来的重大进步。本文介绍了一种创新的决策支持系统(DSS),该系统结合了多标准决策(MCDM)和决策树方法,以优化新兴经济体的制氢决策,并以沙特阿拉伯为例进行了研究。使用MATLAB Web App Designer工具开发的拟议DSS评估了与需求和供应、成本和利润率、政策影响和环境影响相关的各种场景,目标是平衡经济可行性和生态责任。该研究的结果强调了该DSS的潜力,可以指导政策制定者和行业利益相关者做出符合可持续发展目标的明智、可扩展和灵活的制氢决策。该框架通过考虑数据管理、建模、分析和决策等组成部分,集成了技术和物流两个关键影响因素。分析部分采用统计和经济方法对11种战略方案的成本和效益进行建模和评估,而决策部分则使用这些结果来确定实施氢气生产的最有效策略,以最大限度地降低风险和不确定性。
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Decision support system for sustainable hydrogen production: Case study of Saudi Arabia
The global energy sector is undergoing a transition towards sustainable sources, with hydrogen emerging as a promising alternative due to its high energy content and clean-burning properties. The integration of hydrogen into the energy landscape represents a significant advancement towards a cleaner, greener future. This paper introduces an innovative decision support system (DSS) that combines multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) and decision tree methodologies to optimize hydrogen production decisions in emerging economies, using Saudi Arabia as a case study. The proposed DSS, developed using MATLAB Web App Designer tools, evaluates various scenarios related to demand and supply, cost and profit margins, policy implications, and environmental impacts, with the goal of balancing economic viability and ecological responsibility. The study's findings highlight the potential of this DSS to guide policymakers and industry stakeholders in making informed, scalable, and flexible hydrogen production decisions that align with sustainable development goals. The novel DSS framework integrates two key influencing factors technical and logistical by considering components such as data management, modeling, analysis, and decision-making. The analysis component employs statistical and economic methods to model and assess the costs and benefits of eleven strategic scenarios, while the decision-making component uses these results to determine the most effective strategies for implementing hydrogen production to minimize risks and uncertainties.
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来源期刊
Energy for Sustainable Development
Energy for Sustainable Development ENERGY & FUELS-ENERGY & FUELS
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
9.10%
发文量
187
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the International Energy Initiative, Energy for Sustainable Development is the journal for decision makers, managers, consultants, policy makers, planners and researchers in both government and non-government organizations. It publishes original research and reviews about energy in developing countries, sustainable development, energy resources, technologies, policies and interactions.
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