意大利和英国高地、低地站气温日变化趋势及模式相似性分析

IF 3.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES International Journal of Climatology Pub Date : 2024-10-12 DOI:10.1002/joc.8643
Chalachew Muluken Liyew, Rosa Meo, Stefano Ferraris, Elvira Di Nardo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究对2002 - 2021年英国高地(5个站)、英国低地(4个站)、意大利高地(11个站)和意大利低地(12个站)4组32个站在不同海拔的逐时气温进行了分析。这项研究的目的是在不同的平均时间窗口(10天、30天和60天)内检查这段时间内每天每小时的趋势。使用Mann-Kendall趋势检验和Sen斜率估计来计算趋势。采用带动态时间规整技术的分层聚类方法对台站组内和台站组间的趋势相似性进行了评估。利用相关距离矩阵进一步分析了组站间趋势的相关性。层次聚类和距离相关分析显示出趋势相似性和相关性,也显示出不同群体之间的差异性。利用30天平均值,意大利气象站在特定月份的显著变暖趋势很明显,特别是在2月、7月、8月和12月。英国高地监测站没有显示出统计上显著的趋势,但在组内发现了明显的模式相似性,特别是在某些月份。本文的最终目标是在区域和日尺度上提供对温度动态和气候变化特征的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Analysis of Diurnal Air Temperature Trends and Pattern Similarities in Highland and Lowland Stations of Italy and UK

In this study, an analysis of hourly air temperatures in four groups of 32 stations from the UK highland (5 stations), UK lowland (4 stations), Italian highland (11 stations), and Italian lowland (12 stations) at different altitudes was carried out  over the period from 2002 to 2021. The study aimed to examine the trends of each hour of the day during this period, over different averaging time windows (10-day, 30-day, and 60-day). The trends were computed using the Mann–Kendall trend test and Sen's slope estimator. The similarity of trends within and across the groups of stations was assessed using the hierarchical clustering with dynamic time warping technique. An additional analysis was conducted to show the correlation of trends among the group of stations using the correlation distance matrix. Hierarchical clustering and distance correlation analysis show trend similarities and correlations, also indicating dissimilarities among different groups. Using 30-day averages, significant warming trends in specific months at the Italian stations are evident, especially in February, July, August, and December. The UK highland stations did not show statistically significant trends, but clear pattern similarities were found within the groups, especially in certain months. The ultimate goal of this article is to provide insights into temperature dynamics and climate change characteristics on regional and diurnal scales.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Climatology
International Journal of Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
7.70%
发文量
417
审稿时长
4 months
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Climatology aims to span the well established but rapidly growing field of climatology, through the publication of research papers, short communications, major reviews of progress and reviews of new books and reports in the area of climate science. The Journal’s main role is to stimulate and report research in climatology, from the expansive fields of the atmospheric, biophysical, engineering and social sciences. Coverage includes: Climate system science; Local to global scale climate observations and modelling; Seasonal to interannual climate prediction; Climatic variability and climate change; Synoptic, dynamic and urban climatology, hydroclimatology, human bioclimatology, ecoclimatology, dendroclimatology, palaeoclimatology, marine climatology and atmosphere-ocean interactions; Application of climatological knowledge to environmental assessment and management and economic production; Climate and society interactions
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