出生高峰月份的变化和社会经济因素:1950-2022年德国分裂和统一的研究。

IF 1.7 4区 医学 Q3 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY Journal of Perinatal Medicine Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI:10.1515/jpm-2024-0526
Bertram Häussler, Joachim W Dudenhausen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:200多年来,怀孕和出生的季节性一直吸引着科学家。自20世纪70年代以来,受口服避孕药和社会经济因素的影响,北半球的高峰出生月份已从早春转向夏末。从第二次世界大战结束到1990年统一的德国分裂提供了一个独特的机会来分析这些影响,而两个地区都有平等的避孕机会。本研究旨在确定西德和东德在统一前后的生育趋势和高峰出生月份的差异,考虑到政治、社会经济因素和避孕措施的可用性。方法:一项基于人口的研究分析了1950年至2022年的总体生育率、月出生数据、高峰出生月份和平均产妇年龄。结果:在1970年之前,这两个地区的生育模式是相似的,1955年之后生育率急剧上升,随后在1965年左右下降,可能是由于避孕。从1970年到1990年,东德的生育率上升,而西德的生育率仍然较低。统一后,东德的生育率急剧下降,但后来又上升到西德的水平。到20世纪80年代中期,西德的高峰出生月份从3月转移到8月,而东德在统一后的20年后经历了这一变化。结论:东德的转变延迟了20年,这表明口服避孕药的影响受到其他因素的影响,尤其是分娩妇女的年龄。在西方,对生育的控制越来越严格,允许在受孕时间上有更多的选择,在获得类似的自主权后,这一趋势也被东方所采用。
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Shifts in peak month of births and socio-economic factors: a study of divided and reunified Germany 1950-2022.

Objectives: The seasonality of conception and birth has intrigued scientists for over 200 years. Since the 1970s, peak birth months in the northern hemisphere have shifted from early spring to late summer, influenced by oral contraceptives and socio-economic factors. The division of Germany from the end of World War II until reunification in 1990 offers a unique opportunity to analyze these influences while both regions had equal access to contraception. This study aims to identify differences in fertility trends and peak birth months between West and East Germany before and after reunification, considering political, socio-economic factors, and contraceptive availability.

Methods: A population-based study analyzed overall fertility rates, monthly birth data, peak birth months, and average maternal ages from 1950 to 2022.

Results: Fertility patterns were similar in both regions until 1970, showing a sharp increase post-1955 followed by a decline around 1965, likely due to contraception. From 1970 to 1990, East German fertility increased while West Germany's remained lower. After reunification, East German fertility fell sharply but later rose to West German levels. The peak birth month shifted from March to August in West Germany by the mid-1980s, while East Germany experienced this change 20 years later, post-reunification.

Conclusions: The 20-year delay in East Germany's shift suggests that oral contraception's impact was influenced by other factors, particularly the age of women at childbirth. Increased control over fertility in the West allowed for more choice in conception timing, a trend adopted in the East after gaining similar autonomy.

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来源期刊
Journal of Perinatal Medicine
Journal of Perinatal Medicine 医学-妇产科学
CiteScore
4.40
自引率
8.30%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Perinatal Medicine (JPM) is a truly international forum covering the entire field of perinatal medicine. It is an essential news source for all those obstetricians, neonatologists, perinatologists and allied health professionals who wish to keep abreast of progress in perinatal and related research. Ahead-of-print publishing ensures fastest possible knowledge transfer. The Journal provides statements on themes of topical interest as well as information and different views on controversial topics. It also informs about the academic, organisational and political aims and objectives of the World Association of Perinatal Medicine.
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