Sex Differences in the Relationship between Arterial Stiffness and Incidence of Chronic Kidney Disease.

Aims: There is a lack of evidence regarding the sex-specific impact of arterial stiffness on the incidence of chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study assessed the relationship between arterial stiffness based on brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) and incident CKD in men and women.

Methods: Individuals who participated in health checkups and underwent concomitant baPWV measurement between 2006 and 2019 were included. They were free of CKD at baseline. The participants were categorized into 4 groups based on their baPWV values (cm/s) as follows: ＜1,200 cm/s for normal, ≥ 1,200 and ＜1,400 for high normal, ≥ 1,400 and ＜1,800 for borderline, and ≥ 1,800 cm/s. The primary outcome was CKD development (estimated glomerular filtration rate ＜60 mL/min/1.73 m²).

Results: A total of 130,100 participants were enrolled, with a mean age of 40.5±8.2 years old. During the mean of 5.6 years of follow-up, 906 (0.7%) participants developed incident CKD. The cumulative incidence of CKD was 0.3%, 0.5%, 1.4%, and 6.2% in the normal, high normal, borderline, and abnormal groups, respectively. In the multivariable-adjusted model including systolic blood pressure, compared with the normal baPWV group, abnormal baPWV group demonstrated a significantly increased risk of incident CKD in women. However, among men, any other baPWV groups were not associated with a significantly elevated risk of incident CKD.

Conclusions: Increased arterial stiffness, as measured by baPWV, was associated with an increased risk of incident CKD, with notable sex-specific differences. These findings underscore the utility of baPWV for identifying CKD risk in women and offer valuable insights into sex-specific differences in arterial stiffness and CKD development.