基于SEER数据库的肾细胞癌治疗策略对生存和多变量预测模型的影响:一项回顾性队列研究。

IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q2 SURGERY Journal of Investigative Surgery Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-13 DOI:10.1080/08941939.2024.2435045
Pengbo Li, Diwei Huo, Donglong Li, Minggui Si, Ruicong Xu, Xuebin Ma, Xunwei Wang, Keliang Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:本项目旨在揭示各种治疗方法如何影响RCC患者的生存机会,并为其建立预测模型。方法:本调查使用来自监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库的数据。放疗、化疗和手术后的OS和RCSS采用Kaplan-Meier方法进行研究。包括性别、年龄、种族等在内的14个因素进行了单因素和多因素COX分析。预测3年、5年或10年的RCSS是主要目标。预测3年、5年或10年的OS是次要终点。采用单因素和多因素Cox分析来确定预后因素。此外,还开发了一种nomogram (nomogram)来精确预测患者3年、5年和10年的生存率。采用DCA、校正曲线和ROC评价nomogram疗效。结果:Kaplan-Meier分析显示,对于≤10 cm的肿瘤,与RN相比,PN的生存率更高。Cox分析确定了10个独立的预后因素。这些变量包括性别、年龄、种族、组织学类型、组织学分级、AJCC分期、N期、T期、M期和手术类型。基于这些变量,建立了OS和RCSS预测的nomogram。结论:对于肿瘤直径小于10cm的RCC患者,PN比RN更有优势。基于临床病理特征、治疗数据和人口学变量的组合nomogram模型可用于预测RCC患者的生存,并准确地进行预后和生存分析。
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Impact of Treatment Strategies on Survival and Within Multivariate Predictive Model for Renal Cell Carcinoma Based on the SEER Database: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background: This project aims to shed light on how various treatment approaches affect RCC patients' chances of survival and create a prediction model for them.

Methods: Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database were used in this investigation. OS and RCSS after radiation, chemotherapy, and surgery were investigated using the Kaplan-Meier approach. Fourteen factors, including gender, age, race, and others, were subjected to univariate and multivariate COX analyses. Predicting RCSS at three, five, or ten years is the main goal. Predicting OS at three, five, or ten years is the secondary endpoint. Cox analyses, both univariate and multivariate, were used to identify prognostic factors. Furthermore, a nomogram was developed to precisely forecast patient survival rates at 3-, 5-, and 10-year intervals. DCA, calibration curves, and ROC were used to assess the nomogram's efficacy.

Results: Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that PN was associated with better survival compared to RN for tumors ≤10 cm. Cox analysis identified 10 independent prognostic factors. These variables included gender, age, race, histological type, histological grade, AJCC stage, N stage, T stage, M stage, and surgical type. Based on these variables, a nomogram for OS and RCSS prediction was created.

Conclusion: PN is advised over RN for RCC patients whose tumors are less than 10 cm in diameter since it offers more advantages. The combined nomogram model, which is based on clinicopathological characteristics, therapy data, and demographic variables, may be used to predict the survival of RCC patients and perform prognostic and survival analysis with accuracy.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
114
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Investigative Surgery publishes peer-reviewed scientific articles for the advancement of surgery, to the ultimate benefit of patient care and rehabilitation. It is the only journal that encompasses the individual and collaborative efforts of scientists in human and veterinary medicine, dentistry, basic and applied sciences, engineering, and law and ethics. The journal is dedicated to the publication of outstanding articles of interest to the surgical research community.
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