大规模养老基金撤资期间资产被迫出售的价格效应

IF 9.8 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE International Review of Financial Analysis Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-19 DOI:10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103869
Juan D. Díaz , Erwin Hansen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2020年7月,智利国会出人意料地修改了宪法,自1981年养老金制度建立以来,首次允许工人领取强制性养老金储蓄。另外两次撤资分别发生在2020年12月和2021年4月。养老基金管理者不得不在短时间内变现相当于GDP 20%的资产(股票和债券)。我们使用差异中的差异和事件研究方法,分析了这些事件,展示了强制出售如何影响国内资产价格。我们的研究结果表明,撤资期间的抛售压力会影响国内资产价格,而央行对债券市场的干预在形成这些影响方面发挥了重要作用。
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Price effects of asset forced sales during massive pension funds withdrawals
In July 2020, the Chilean Congress made an unexpected modification to the Constitution, allowing workers to take their mandatory pension savings for the first time since the pension system was established in 1981. Two other withdrawals took place in December 2020 and April 2021. Pension fund administrators had to liquidate assets (stocks and bonds) worth 20% of GDP within a short period. Using difference-in-differences and event study methods, we analyze these events, demonstrating how forced sales affected domestic asset prices. Our findings reveal that selling pressures during withdrawals impact domestic asset prices, with the Central Bank’s intervention in the bond market playing a significant role in shaping these effects.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.30
自引率
9.80%
发文量
366
期刊介绍: The International Review of Financial Analysis (IRFA) is an impartial refereed journal designed to serve as a platform for high-quality financial research. It welcomes a diverse range of financial research topics and maintains an unbiased selection process. While not limited to U.S.-centric subjects, IRFA, as its title suggests, is open to valuable research contributions from around the world.
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