外周血有核红细胞的评估增加了28天重症肺炎婴儿重症疾病评分的预测价值

IF 2.7 3区 医学 Q1 PEDIATRICS Pediatric Pulmonology Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-24 DOI:10.1002/ppul.27460
Diao Yu, Yuran Huang, Shipeng Xu, Ling Zeng, Yunfeng Luo, Hongli Wang, Lan Hu
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Variables showing significant differences were included in binary multivariable logistic regression analysis to explore independent risk factors for mortality in infants with severe pneumonia. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of patient outcomes at 28 days.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The study included 128 patients; at 28 days, 96 survived (survivor group), and 32 had died (nonsurvivor group). Compared with the survivor group, the nonsurvivor group had lower levels of platelets [348 (239-496) versus 431 (324-540) ×10<sup>9</sup>/L; p = 0.023], albumin [35.7 ± 5.2 vs. 37.9 ± 4.4 g/L; p = 0.022], CD3 [36.9 ± 1.7 vs. 47.6 ± 1.8%; p < 0.001], CD4 [20.4 ± 1.2 vs. 23.6 ± 1.9%; p < 0.001], IgG [4.9 ± 1.0 vs. 6.4 ± 0.7 g/L; p < 0.001], IgA [0.5 ± 0.1 vs. 0.8 ± 0.1 g/L; p < 0.001], 25-hydroxyvitamin D(25(OH)D) [21.1 ± 1.0 vs. 30.7 ± 1.36 ng/mL; p < 0.001], PCIS [72.8 ± 7.8 vs. 87.5 ± 6.2; P<0.001], and a greater NRBC level [0.450 (0.162-0.832) vs. 0.185 (0.100-0.500) ×10<sup>9</sup>/L; p = 0.005]. Binary multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that the NRBC count (odds ratio (OR) = 2.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.427-4.239; p = 0.001) and PCIS (OR = 0.775, 95% CI: 0.644-0.934; p = 0.008) were independent predictors of 28-day survival in infants with severe pneumonia. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究旨在评价有核红细胞(NRBC)与儿科危重疾病评分(PCIS)联合应用对重症肺炎患儿28天预后的预测价值。方法:本回顾性研究在毕节市第一人民医院儿科重症监护病房(PICU)进行,纳入2021年9月1日至2022年8月31日的重症肺炎患儿。从电子病历中提取人口统计、临床和实验室数据,并比较各组之间的差异。将有显著差异的变量纳入二元多变量logistic回归分析,探讨重症肺炎患儿死亡率的独立危险因素。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估患者28天预后的预测价值。结果:纳入128例患者;28天,96人存活(幸存者组),32人死亡(非幸存者组)。与幸存者组相比,非幸存者组的血小板水平较低[348(239-496)对431 (324-540)×109/L;p = 0.023),白蛋白(35.7±5.2和37.9±4.4 g / L;p = 0.022], CD3[36.9±1.7∶47.6±1.8%;p < 0.001], CD4[20.4±1.2比23.6±1.9%;p < 0.001], IgG[4.9±1.0 vs. 6.4±0.7 g/L;p < 0.001], IgA[0.5±0.1 vs. 0.8±0.1 g/L;p < 0.001),人体内25 -羟维生素D (25 (OH) D)(21.1±1.0和30.7±1.36 ng / mL;p < 0.001], PCIS[72.8±7.8∶87.5±6.2;P<0.001],且NRBC水平较高[0.450 (0.162-0.832)vs. 0.185 (0.100-0.500) ×109/L;p = 0.005]。二元多变量logistic回归分析显示,NRBC计数(优势比(OR) = 2.46, 95%可信区间[CI] 1.427 ~ 4.239;p = 0.001)和时(OR = 0.775, 95% CI: 0.644—-0.934;P = 0.008)是重症肺炎患儿28天生存率的独立预测因子。PCIS的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.782 (95% CI: 0.680-0.884), NRBC的AUC为0.719 (95% CI: 0.622-0.816),当NRBC和PCIS合并时,AUC为0.929 (95% CI: 0.880-0.978)。结论:NRBC计数和PCIS是影响新生儿重症肺炎预后的危险因素,两者联合可提高患儿28天预后的预测价值。
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Evaluation of Nucleated Red Blood Cells in Peripheral Blood Increases the Predictive Value of Pediatric Critical Illness Score in Infants With Severe Pneumonia at 28 Days.

Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of combining nucleated red blood cells (NRBC) with the pediatric critical illness score (PCIS) in infants with severe pneumonia at 28 days.

Methods: This retrospective study was conducted at the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) of the First People's Hospital of Bijie and included infants with severe pneumonia from September 1, 2021, to August 31, 2022. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were extracted from electronic medical records, and the differences between the groups were compared. Variables showing significant differences were included in binary multivariable logistic regression analysis to explore independent risk factors for mortality in infants with severe pneumonia. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the predictive value of patient outcomes at 28 days.

Results: The study included 128 patients; at 28 days, 96 survived (survivor group), and 32 had died (nonsurvivor group). Compared with the survivor group, the nonsurvivor group had lower levels of platelets [348 (239-496) versus 431 (324-540) ×109/L; p = 0.023], albumin [35.7 ± 5.2 vs. 37.9 ± 4.4 g/L; p = 0.022], CD3 [36.9 ± 1.7 vs. 47.6 ± 1.8%; p < 0.001], CD4 [20.4 ± 1.2 vs. 23.6 ± 1.9%; p < 0.001], IgG [4.9 ± 1.0 vs. 6.4 ± 0.7 g/L; p < 0.001], IgA [0.5 ± 0.1 vs. 0.8 ± 0.1 g/L; p < 0.001], 25-hydroxyvitamin D(25(OH)D) [21.1 ± 1.0 vs. 30.7 ± 1.36 ng/mL; p < 0.001], PCIS [72.8 ± 7.8 vs. 87.5 ± 6.2; P<0.001], and a greater NRBC level [0.450 (0.162-0.832) vs. 0.185 (0.100-0.500) ×109/L; p = 0.005]. Binary multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that the NRBC count (odds ratio (OR) = 2.46, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.427-4.239; p = 0.001) and PCIS (OR = 0.775, 95% CI: 0.644-0.934; p = 0.008) were independent predictors of 28-day survival in infants with severe pneumonia. The PCIS had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.782 (95% CI: 0.680-0.884), NRBC had an AUC of 0.719 (95% CI: 0.622-0.816), and when the NRBC and PCIS were combined, the AUC was 0.929 (95% CI: 0.880-0.978).

Conclusion: The NRBC count and PCIS are risk factors for the prognosis of infants with severe pneumonia, and their combination can increase the predictive value of patient outcomes at 28 days.

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来源期刊
Pediatric Pulmonology
Pediatric Pulmonology 医学-呼吸系统
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
12.90%
发文量
468
审稿时长
3-8 weeks
期刊介绍: Pediatric Pulmonology (PPUL) is the foremost global journal studying the respiratory system in disease and in health as it develops from intrauterine life though adolescence to adulthood. Combining explicit and informative analysis of clinical as well as basic scientific research, PPUL provides a look at the many facets of respiratory system disorders in infants and children, ranging from pathological anatomy, developmental issues, and pathophysiology to infectious disease, asthma, cystic fibrosis, and airborne toxins. Focused attention is given to the reporting of diagnostic and therapeutic methods for neonates, preschool children, and adolescents, the enduring effects of childhood respiratory diseases, and newly described infectious diseases. PPUL concentrates on subject matters of crucial interest to specialists preparing for the Pediatric Subspecialty Examinations in the United States and other countries. With its attentive coverage and extensive clinical data, this journal is a principle source for pediatricians in practice and in training and a must have for all pediatric pulmonologists.
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