客户灵活性管理的多目标优化,缓解连续供电天数短缺

IF 7.2 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC IEEE Transactions on Power Systems Pub Date : 2025-01-06 DOI:10.1109/TPWRS.2025.3525710
Yunchu Wang;Feng Lu;Chenghong Gu;Li Yang;Zhenzhi Lin;Ming Wu;Liangzhong Yao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

热浪等极端天气增加了电力系统供应短缺的可能性,因此有必要在发电端资源有限的情况下提高客户的灵活性。本文提出了一个管理客户灵活性的优化模型,以解决连续多天的电力短缺问题。首先,考虑极端高温条件下的电力供应不足,构建了客户灵活性管理框架。然后,对客户柔性管理中心进行多目标优化,使客户柔性管理成本和对工业客户生产的影响最小。在该模型中,提出了基于指数平滑和贝叶斯推理方法的影响指数和客户不确定性更新方法来管理连续天的客户灵活性。构建了一种结合Tchebycheff分解和层次分析法(AHP)-熵权的方法来解决主客观因素对决策的影响。最后,以中国浙江省某市的工业客户为例进行了案例研究,结果表明,所提出的模型可以帮助客户灵活性管理中心减少和延迟连续几天热浪期间的电力供应短缺。
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Multi-Objective Optimization for Customer Flexibility Management to Mitigate Consecutive Days of Power Supply Shortages
Extreme weather such as heatwaves increases the probability of power system supply shortages, thus necessitating enhanced customer flexibility in instances of limited generation-side resources. This paper proposes an optimization model for managing customer flexibility to tackle multiple consecutive days of power supply shortages. Firstly, it constructs a customer flexibility management framework, considering power supply shortages under extreme heatwave conditions. Then, a multi-objective optimization is built for the customer flexibility management center to minimize the customer flexibility management costs and impacts on industrial customers’ production. In this model, the impact index and customer uncertainty updating methods are proposed for managing customer flexibility over consecutive days based on exponential smoothing and Bayesian inference methods. A combined Tchebycheff decomposition and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP)-entropy weight method is constructed to tackle the impact of subjective and objective factors on decision-making. Finally, industrial customers in a city of Zhejiang province, China are used for case studies and the result shows that the proposed model can help customer flexibility management centers reduce and delay the power supply shortages during consecutive days of heatwaves.
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来源期刊
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
15.80
自引率
7.60%
发文量
696
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The scope of IEEE Transactions on Power Systems covers the education, analysis, operation, planning, and economics of electric generation, transmission, and distribution systems for general industrial, commercial, public, and domestic consumption, including the interaction with multi-energy carriers. The focus of this transactions is the power system from a systems viewpoint instead of components of the system. It has five (5) key areas within its scope with several technical topics within each area. These areas are: (1) Power Engineering Education, (2) Power System Analysis, Computing, and Economics, (3) Power System Dynamic Performance, (4) Power System Operations, and (5) Power System Planning and Implementation.
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