撒哈拉以南非洲脆弱与主观预期寿命之间的关系:来自Côte科特迪瓦的证据。

Gideon Dzando, Richard K Moussa
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摘要

目的:虚弱和主观预期寿命是老年人健康和福祉的重要决定因素。本研究旨在调查撒哈拉以南非洲地区脆弱与主观预期寿命之间的关系。方法:本研究是一项横断面研究,涉及Côte科特迪瓦三个地区的1,017名50岁及以上的老年人。一个包含30个项目的虚弱指数被用来确定虚弱的普遍程度。主观预期寿命是用自我报告的预期寿命来衡量的。使用点估计和概率程序,目标年龄分别为60岁、80岁、85岁和90岁。采用非参数估计方法,根据概率方法的数据计算个体平均预期寿命。采用分位数选择模型评估虚弱对主观预期寿命的分布效应。结果:超过一半(59.3%)的研究参与者体弱,24.6%为体弱前期,16.1%为非体弱。身体虚弱与主观预期寿命呈负相关。体弱个体的主观预期寿命比非体弱个体低3.7年。55-59岁和80岁以上的主观预期寿命分别比50-54岁低4.8年和27.8年。结论:本研究表明老年人虚弱与主观预期寿命之间存在密切联系,表明旨在预防或减少虚弱的干预措施可以影响主观预期寿命和整体幸福感。
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Association between frailty and subjective life expectancy in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Côte D'Ivoire.

Aim: Frailty and Subjective Life Expectancy are important determinants of the health and well-being of older adults. This study aims to investigate the relationship between frailty and Subjective Life Expectancy in Sub-Sahara Africa.

Methods: This study is a cross-sectional study involving 1,017 older adults aged 50 years and above across three regions of Côte d'Ivoire. A 30-item Frailty Index was used to determine the prevalence of frailty. Subjective Life Expectancy was measured using self-reported estimates of expected lifespan. The point estimate and probabilistic procedures were used, with target ages set at 60, 80, 85, and 90 years. A non-parametric estimation procedure was used to compute the average life expectancy at individual level based on data from the probabilistic procedure. The distributional effects of frailty on Subjective Life Expectancy were assessed with the quantile selection model.

Results: The results indicate that, more than half (59.3 %) of the study participants were frail, 24.6 % were pre-frail and 16.1 % were non-frail. Being frail was negatively associated with Subjective Life Expectancy. Frail individuals had up to 3.7 years lower Subjective Life Expectancy compared to the non-frail individuals. Compared to individuals aged 50-54, those aged 55-59 and 80+ years had 4.8 and 27.8 years lower Subjective Life Expectancy respectively.

Conclusion: The study demonstrates a close connection between frailty and Subjective Life Expectancy among older adults, suggesting that interventions aimed at preventing or reducing frailty can influence Subjective Life Expectancy and overall well-being.

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