先验信息辅助多尺度网络降水临近预报

IF 4.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Computers & Geosciences Pub Date : 2025-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-20 DOI:10.1016/j.cageo.2025.105851
Dan Song , Yu Wang , Wenhui Li , Wen Liu , Zhiqiang Wei , An-An Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确的降水临近预报对日常生活具有重要意义。近年来,深度学习网络在降水临近预报领域表现出优异的性能。然而,他们没有充分利用重要的先验信息,如从预训练模型中获得的经验和地形引起的影响。本文提出了一种基于先验信息的降水近预报多尺度网络。首先,我们采用交叉注意机制对地形高程与雷达回波之间的相关性进行建模,增强输入的特征表征;随后,我们引入了一个师生网络,利用预训练模型在模拟回声运动方面的能力作为先验信息来协助预测。最后,提出了一种多尺度UNet网络,将大尺度和小尺度特征交叉融合,使预测图像保留全局信息和更多局部细节。我们利用真实雷达回波数据集在0-2 h范围内进行降水临近预报试验。与第二好的结果(即。基于REMNet (Jing et al., 2022)的检测概率(POD)和RainNet (Ayzel et al., 2020)的关键成功指数(CSI),我们的方法分别将POD和CSI提高了15.4%和27.7%,证明了我们方法的优势。
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Prior information assisted multi-scale network for precipitation nowcasting
Accurate precipitation nowcasting holds great significance for daily life. In recent years, deep learning networks have demonstrated excellent performance in the field of precipitation nowcasting. However, they did not fully harness important prior information such as the experience acquired from pre-trained model and the effects caused by terrain. In this paper, we propose a prior information assisted multi-scale network for precipitation nowcasting. Firstly, we employ a cross-attention mechanism to model the correlation between terrain elevation and radar echoes, enhancing the feature representation of the input. Subsequently, we introduce a teacher–student network, leveraging the pre-trained model’s capability in modeling echo movement as prior information to assist in the prediction. Finally, a multi-scale UNet network is proposed to cross-fuse large-scale and small-scale features so that the predicted images retain global information and more local details. We conduct precipitation nowcasting tests using real radar echo datasets within the 0–2 h range. Compared with the second best results(i.e., REMNet (Jing et al., 2022) for Probability of Detection (POD) and RainNet (Ayzel et al., 2020) for Critical Success Index (CSI)), our method improves the POD and CSI by 15.4% and 27.7%, respectively, demonstrating the superiority of our method.
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来源期刊
Computers & Geosciences
Computers & Geosciences 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
6.80%
发文量
164
审稿时长
3.4 months
期刊介绍: Computers & Geosciences publishes high impact, original research at the interface between Computer Sciences and Geosciences. Publications should apply modern computer science paradigms, whether computational or informatics-based, to address problems in the geosciences.
期刊最新文献
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