基于数值模拟和南海观测资料的海洋工程台风波极限设计波参数优化

IF 5.5 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Ocean Engineering Pub Date : 2025-04-15 Epub Date: 2025-02-07 DOI:10.1016/j.oceaneng.2025.120603
Dong Jiang , Bigui Huang , Qingsheng Miao , Hang Sun , Zhifeng Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文以2011 - 2022年南海20个台风为研究对象,基于WRF网格推动同化技术,对台风期间南海后播的物理参数化方案进行了优化。采用Thompson_KF_YSU组合物理参数化方案得到的台风预报结果最好。与ERA5再分析数据相比,RMSE总体下降了19.09%。以优化后的风场为输入,对模拟波近岸(simulation WAves Nearshore, SWAN)模型的物理参数化方案进行优化,结果表明,默认的Wu风阻公式高估了台风期间的HS,特别是在较高风速下。以Westhuysen风输入、FIL风阻公式、AB白浪耗散、Madsen底摩擦为模拟结果最佳,RMSE HS为0.582m。利用Poisson-Gumbel复合极值分布计算了南海8个特征点的台风波浪。与默认SWAN方案相比,优化方案显著改善了不同的回归期,特别是在严重台风影响地区。在广州沿海海域,百年际和50年际台风波分别提高了1.12m和0.96m,为工程设计提供了更为合理的依据。
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Extreme design wave parameters optimization of typhoon wave for ocean engineering based on numerical simulation and observation data in the South China Sea
In this study, 20 typhoons in the South China Sea (SCS) from 2011 to 2022 are selected, based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Grid Nudging assimilation technique, the physical parameterization schemes for hindcasting in the SCS during typhoons are Optimization. The best results for typhoon hindcasts are derived using Thompson_KF_YSU combination physical parameterization schemes. Compared to ERA5 reanalysis data, the RMSE decreased by 19.09% overall. Optimization of the physical parameterization scheme in the Simulating WAves Nearshore (SWAN) model using the optimized wind field as input shows that the default Wu wind drag formula overestimates the HS during typhoon events, particularly at higher wind speeds. Westhuysen wind input, FIL wind drag formula, AB whitecapping dissipation, and Madsen bottom friction achieved the best simulation results with the RMSE HS of 0.582m. The Poisson-Gumbel compound extreme value distribution is used to calculate typhoon waves at eight characteristic points in the SCS. The optimized scheme significantly improved the different return period compared to the default SWAN scheme, particularly in severe typhoon affected areas. In the coastal waters of Guangzhou, the 100-year and 50-year return period typhoon waves were improved by 1.12m and 0.96m, respectively, providing a more rational basis for engineering design.
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来源期刊
Ocean Engineering
Ocean Engineering 工程技术-工程:大洋
CiteScore
7.30
自引率
34.00%
发文量
2379
审稿时长
8.1 months
期刊介绍: Ocean Engineering provides a medium for the publication of original research and development work in the field of ocean engineering. Ocean Engineering seeks papers in the following topics.
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