Shlomi Sher, Johannes Müller-Trede, Craig R M McKenzie
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引用次数: 0
摘要
传统的理性选择模型假定偏好是完整的,但完整性公理既不符合规范,也不符合心理学原理。在经济学最新研究的基础上,我们对不完全偏好下的决策进行了理性分析。该分析揭示了一系列众所周知的行为 "反常现象",包括禀赋效应、维持现状、沉没成本效应和连贯的任意性。我们提出了理性选择理论的两部分划分--偏好理论和 "实施理论"--并展示了保守和连贯武断的政策如何有效地实施不完全偏好。由两部分组成的规范性框架促使我们从心理学角度对决策中的评估阶段和执行阶段进行区分。我们认为,禀赋效应和相关现象通常被归因于评估阶段的损失厌恶,而实施阶段的保守主义可以更好地解释这些现象。理性分析对预期效用理论的规范适当性提出了质疑,并对前景理论的解释范围提出了疑问。它说明了价值结构的心理学模型与理性选择的规范模型之间丰富的相互作用。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, 版权所有)。
Choices without preferences: Principles of rational arbitrariness.
Traditional models of rational choice assume that preferences are complete, but the completeness axiom is neither normatively compelling nor psychologically plausible. Building on recent work in economics, we develop a rational analysis of decision making with incomplete preferences. The analysis sheds surprising light on a range of well-known behavioral "anomalies," including the endowment effect, status quo maintenance, the sunk cost effect, and coherent arbitrariness. We propose a two-part division of rational choice theory-into preference theory and "implementation theory"-and show how conservative and coherently arbitrary policies can effectively implement incomplete preferences. The two-part normative framework motivates a psychological distinction between evaluation and implementation phases in decision making. We argue that the endowment effect and related phenomena, which have usually been attributed to loss aversion in the evaluation phase, are better explained by conservatism in the implementation phase. The rational analysis challenges the normative adequacy of expected utility theory and raises questions about the explanatory scope of prospect theory. It illustrates the rich interplay between psychological models of value structure and normative models of rational choice. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).
期刊介绍:
Psychological Review publishes articles that make important theoretical contributions to any area of scientific psychology, including systematic evaluation of alternative theories.