臭腹合欢潜在适宜分布的预测Benth。气候变化条件下基于Biomod2模型的研究。

IF 4.3 3区 生物学 Q1 BIOLOGY Biology-Basel Pub Date : 2025-02-10 DOI:10.3390/biology14020180
Zhiting Li, Qiaomiao Ji, Yong Yang, Yunfei Gao, Meng Xu, Yali Guan
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摘要

气味合欢(L. f.)Benth。是一种极具经济和生态价值的树种。发展潜力巨大。为了实现其遗传资源的可持续保护、开发和利用,评估其潜在生境和确定影响其分布的关键环境因子是至关重要的。本研究采用Biomod2模型,利用65个发生点和11个环境变量,在当前和未来两种气候情景下预测了臭草在中国的潜在分布。臭椿的分布主要受3个温度相关因子bio4、bio8和bio11的影响。预测结果表明,中国南方几个省份的适宜生境面积为136.98 × 104 km2。在不同气候情景下,预计未来适宜生境区域将向北移动,但高度适宜生境区域将保持相对稳定。这些发现对臭臭草资源的保护、开发和可持续利用具有重要意义。
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Predicting the Potential Suitable Distribution of Albizia odoratissima (L. f.) Benth. Under Climate Change Based on the Biomod2 Model.

Albizia odoratissima (L. f.) Benth. is a highly valuable tree species, both economically and ecologically. It has great potential for development. To conserve, develop, and use its genetic resources sustainably, it is crucial to evaluate the potential habitat of A. odoratissima and identify the key environmental factors that affect its distribution. In this study, the Biomod2 model was used to predict the potential distribution of A. odoratissima in China, using 65 occurrence points and 11 environmental variables for both current and future climate scenarios. The distribution of A. odoratissima is mainly influenced by three temperature-related factors: bio4, bio8, and bio11. Our prediction shows that the suitable habitats for A. odoratissima are mostly located in several southern provinces of China, totaling 136.98 × 104 km2. Under different climate scenarios, the suitable habitat area is expected to shift northward in the future, although the highly suitable areas will remain relatively stable. These findings have important implications for the conservation, development, and sustainable utilization of A. odoratissima resources.

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来源期刊
Biology-Basel
Biology-Basel Biological Science-Biological Science
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
4.80%
发文量
1618
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: Biology (ISSN 2079-7737) is an international, peer-reviewed, quick-refereeing open access journal of Biological Science published by MDPI online. It publishes reviews, research papers and communications in all areas of biology and at the interface of related disciplines. Our aim is to encourage scientists to publish their experimental and theoretical results in as much detail as possible. There is no restriction on the length of the papers. The full experimental details must be provided so that the results can be reproduced. Electronic files regarding the full details of the experimental procedure, if unable to be published in a normal way, can be deposited as supplementary material.
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