Visit-to-Visit Systolic Blood Pressure Variability and Risk of Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Stroke.

Background and Objectives: Systolic blood pressure (SBP) variability has been increasingly associated with cardiovascular outcomes, including stroke. This study aimed to evaluate the association between visit-to-visit SBP variability and the risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. Materials and Methods: A prospective cohort study was conducted on a set of 208 hypertensive patients over a period of three years, from August 2021 to September 2024, at the County Emergency Hospital "Pius Brinzeu", Timișoara. Patients included in the study were stroke-free. SBP variability was quantified as the standard deviation of SBP measurements obtained quarterly. Results: This study demonstrated that systolic blood pressure (SBP) variability serves as a robust predictor of stroke incidence, underscoring its important role in cerebrovascular risk. The study cohort had an average age of 65.3 ± 9.1 years, with 53.4% males and 46.6% females. Patients in the highest SBP variability group had a 1.21-fold increased risk (21%, p = 0.031) of ischemic stroke and a 1.73-fold increased risk (73%, p = 0.005) of hemorrhagic stroke compared to those in the lowest variability group, revealing that higher SBP variability is strongly associated with an increased risk of both ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes, with the relationship being particularly pronounced for hemorrhagic stroke. Patients exhibiting greater fluctuations in SBP experienced significantly earlier stroke events and reduced stroke-free survival. Moreover, mortality rates were notably higher among individuals with very high SBP variability, indicating its profound impact on long-term outcomes. Conclusions: Visit-to-visit SBP variability is a significant and independent predictor of both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, emphasizing the clinical importance of monitoring and managing blood pressure stability. Further research should explore interventions to mitigate SBP variability and its impact on cerebrovascular outcomes.