可解释机器学习(SHAP和LIME)预测白菜种植中土壤N, P和K养分含量的新应用

IF 5.7 Q1 AGRICULTURAL ENGINEERING Smart agricultural technology Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-06 DOI:10.1016/j.atech.2025.100879
Thilina Abekoon , Hirushan Sajindra , Namal Rathnayake , Imesh U. Ekanayake , Anuradha Jayakody , Upaka Rathnayake
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引用次数: 0

摘要

白菜(芸苔甘蓝变种。capitata)通常种植在高海拔地区,其特点是叶子密集,排列紧密。绿冠品种以其强劲的生长和烹饪的多功能性而闻名。产量最大化对粮食可持续性至关重要。预测土壤的主要养分(氮、磷、钾)对最大限度地提高产量至关重要。人工智能被广泛用于具有可解释性的非线性预测。本研究通过可解释的机器学习方法评估了85天卷心菜生长期土壤氮、磷和钾水平的预测能力。对斯里兰卡中部山区种植的卷心菜进行了实验。采用SHapley加性解释(SHAP)和局部可解释模型不可知论解释(LIME)来澄清模型的预测。SHAP分析表明,日数和平均叶面积的高特征值对养分预测有负向影响,而叶数和株高的高特征值对养分预测有正向影响。为了验证结果,选择了15株不同生长阶段的温室栽培卷心菜。测量了氮、磷、钾水平,并与预测值进行了比较。这些见解有助于完善预测模型和优化农业实践。开发了一个用户友好的应用程序,以改善预测的可访问性和解释。该工具对于最终用户来说是一个用户友好的平台,能够有效地使用模型的预测功能。
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A novel application with explainable machine learning (SHAP and LIME) to predict soil N, P, and K nutrient content in cabbage cultivation
Cabbage (Brassica oleracea var. capitata) is commonly cultivated in high altitudes and features dense, tightly packed leaves. The Green Coronet variety is well-known for its robust growth and culinary versatility. Maximizing yield is crucial for food sustainability. It is essential to predict the soil's major nutrients (nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium) to maximize the yield. Artificial intelligence is widely used for non-linear predictions with explainability. This research assessed the predictive capabilities of soil nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium levels with explainable machine learning methods over an 85-day cabbage growth period. Experiments were conducted on cabbage plants grown in central hills of Sri Lanka. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) were used to clarify the model's predictions. SHAP analysis showed that high feature values of the number of days and plant average leaf area negatively impacted for nutrient predictions, while high feature values of leaf count and plant height had a positive effect on the nutrient predictions. To validate the results, 15 greenhouse-grown cabbage plants at various growth stages were selected. The nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium levels were measured and compared with the predicted values. These insights help refine predictive models and optimize agricultural practices. A user-friendly application was developed to improve the accessibility and interpretation of predictions. This tool is a user-friendly platform for end-users, enabling effective use of the model's predictive capabilities.
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