{"title":"在电力对数公用事业投资者偏好下,市场隐含的损失厌恶情绪","authors":"Jivendra K. Kale","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2025.107154","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We use the equilibrium between equity-index spot and options markets, investor preferences modeled with Power-Log utility functions, and utility indifference pricing to estimate the market's implied loss aversion, and test prospect theory's and cumulative prospect theory's decreasing marginal sensitivity to losses postulate at the aggregate market level. We find that the equilibrium downside power in the Power-Log utility function is consistently and significantly negative, implying increasing marginal sensitivity and a concave utility function for losses. That contradicts prospect theory's and cumulative prospect theory's S-shaped value function at the aggregate market level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":12167,"journal":{"name":"Finance Research Letters","volume":"78 ","pages":"Article 107154"},"PeriodicalIF":6.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The market's implied loss aversion under power-log utility investor preferences\",\"authors\":\"Jivendra K. Kale\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.frl.2025.107154\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>We use the equilibrium between equity-index spot and options markets, investor preferences modeled with Power-Log utility functions, and utility indifference pricing to estimate the market's implied loss aversion, and test prospect theory's and cumulative prospect theory's decreasing marginal sensitivity to losses postulate at the aggregate market level. We find that the equilibrium downside power in the Power-Log utility function is consistently and significantly negative, implying increasing marginal sensitivity and a concave utility function for losses. That contradicts prospect theory's and cumulative prospect theory's S-shaped value function at the aggregate market level.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":12167,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Finance Research Letters\",\"volume\":\"78 \",\"pages\":\"Article 107154\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-05-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Finance Research Letters\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325004179\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2025/3/8 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Finance Research Letters","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325004179","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/3/8 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
我们利用股票指数现货市场和期权市场之间的均衡、以 Power-Log 效用函数为模型的投资者偏好以及效用冷漠定价来估算市场的隐含损失厌恶程度,并在总体市场层面检验前景理论和累积前景理论对损失的边际敏感度递减假设。我们发现,Power-Log 效用函数中的均衡下行能力始终显著为负,这意味着边际敏感度递增,损失效用函数呈凹形。这与前景理论和累积前景理论在总体市场层面的 S 型价值函数相矛盾。
The market's implied loss aversion under power-log utility investor preferences
We use the equilibrium between equity-index spot and options markets, investor preferences modeled with Power-Log utility functions, and utility indifference pricing to estimate the market's implied loss aversion, and test prospect theory's and cumulative prospect theory's decreasing marginal sensitivity to losses postulate at the aggregate market level. We find that the equilibrium downside power in the Power-Log utility function is consistently and significantly negative, implying increasing marginal sensitivity and a concave utility function for losses. That contradicts prospect theory's and cumulative prospect theory's S-shaped value function at the aggregate market level.
期刊介绍:
Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies.
Papers are invited in the following areas:
Actuarial studies
Alternative investments
Asset Pricing
Bankruptcy and liquidation
Banks and other Depository Institutions
Behavioral and experimental finance
Bibliometric and Scientometric studies of finance
Capital budgeting and corporate investment
Capital markets and accounting
Capital structure and payout policy
Commodities
Contagion, crises and interdependence
Corporate governance
Credit and fixed income markets and instruments
Derivatives
Emerging markets
Energy Finance and Energy Markets
Financial Econometrics
Financial History
Financial intermediation and money markets
Financial markets and marketplaces
Financial Mathematics and Econophysics
Financial Regulation and Law
Forecasting
Frontier market studies
International Finance
Market efficiency, event studies
Mergers, acquisitions and the market for corporate control
Micro Finance Institutions
Microstructure
Non-bank Financial Institutions
Personal Finance
Portfolio choice and investing
Real estate finance and investing
Risk
SME, Family and Entrepreneurial Finance