魁北克的癌症和饮用水的物理化学质量

Jean-Pierre Thouez , Yves Beauchamp , Antoine Simard
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引用次数: 15

摘要

医学地理学允许用不同的比例尺描绘疾病地图,以比较疾病的发病率因素。根据人口和地区确定风险差异,有助于制定有关疾病原因的生态假设。人类癌症是我们社会中一种高发的疾病。根据加拿大最新的统计数据,魁北克省患癌症的风险在这个国家是最大的。在1970-1972年期间,魁北克省男性的癌症发病率最高,而魁北克省女性的癌症发病率仅次于新斯科舍省。此外,癌症仍然是环境因素可能发挥决定性作用的疾病之一。某些专家认为,80%至90%的癌症病例都直接或间接地依赖于环境因素。为了确定魁北克癌症的地理位置,我们使用了加拿大统计局提供的魁北克人口普查地区(r.r.i.)的数据。我们统计了1970-1975年这5年间国际疾病分类中每一种肿瘤的新发恶性肿瘤病例数。这些数字显示了在有关期间所观察到的特定癌症的发病率,并使我们得以计算按年龄标准化的发病率比率,以便分析不同人口普查地区的恶性肿瘤发病率。这项研究的目的是发现饮用水质量和癌症之间可能存在的关系。更具体地说,我们认为某些癌症在被认为是“软”水的地区更为普遍。为了建立这种关系,我们根据癌症部位将rr分为两组:一组SIR高,一组SIR低。每年被消灭的癌症病例少于10例。根据1974-1976年的饮用水理化参数,比较了高、低发病率的相对危险度。采用相关性分析和多元回归分析评价显著相关性。
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Cancer and the physicochemical quality of drinking water in Quebec

The science of Medical Geography permits the delineation of maps of illness using different scales to compare the factors of incidence of a disease. The identification of differences in risk according to population and region facilitates the elaboration of ecological hypotheses relative to the cause of disease. Cancer in humans is an illness of high frequency in our society. According to the most recent Canadian statistics it is in Quebec that the risk of being a cancer victim is the greatest in this country. During the years 1970–1972 Quebec males registered the highest frequency for the ensemble of seats of cancer, while Quebec females ranked directly after those of Nova Scotia. In addition, cancer remains one of the illnesses where environmental agents may exercise a determinant role. Certain experts consider that the direct or indirect dependence upon environmental factors applies in 80 to 90% of cancer cases.

To establish the geographic location of cancers in Quebec we have used figures supplied by Statistics Canada for census regions (R.R.I of Quebec. We have taken the number of new cases of malignant tumors observed during the year for each type of tumor figuring in the international classification of illnesses for a period of 5 years that is from 1970–1975. These figures indicate the rates of incidence of a specific cancer observed during the period in question and allow us to calculate the ratio of incidence standardized according to age (SIR) in order to analyze the incidence of malignant tumors in the various census regions.

The objective of this study was to discover the possible relation between the quality of drinking water and cancer. More particularly, we think that certain cancers are more prevalent in regions where the water is considered “soft”. To establish this relation we grouped the R.R. by sites of cancer in two groups: one where the SIR was high and one where the SIR was low. The R.R. of less than 10 cases of cancer per year were eliminated. We then compared the R.R. of high and low rates of incidence according to physicochemical parameters of drinking water as per 1974–1976 observational data. The analysis of correlations and multiple regression were used to evaluate the significant associations.

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