[1983-1987年台湾-福建地区小学入学人数预测]。

R I Lin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出1983年至1987年台湾学龄人口的预测。特别强调了最近的生育率趋势对教育需要的影响。这些预测包括以下信息:“(1)每学年对应的出生人数,(2)从出生到入学年龄的存活率,(3)一年级入学人数预测,(4)年级与年级递进率的中位数估计,(5)各年级小学入学人数,(6)每年学生人数增加,(7)每年班级人数增加,(8)每年教师人数增加。”对未来政府开支的影响进行了考虑。在教育计划的变化,以符合现有资源的讨论。(英文摘要)
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[Projection of primary school enrollments for the Taiwan-Fukien area, 1983-1987].

A projection of the population of school age in Taiwan is presented for the period 1983 to 1987. Special emphasis is given to the effects of recent fertility trends on educational needs. The projections include information on "(1) births corresponding to each academic year, (2) the survival ratio from birth to age at entrance, (3) projections of the grade 1 enrollments, (4) estimates of median grade-to-grade progression ratios, (5) primary school enrollments at each grade, (6) annual increase of students, (7) annual increase in number of classes, and (8) annual increase of teachers." The implications for future government spending are considered. Changes in educational plans to conform to available resources are discussed. (summary in ENG)

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