{"title":"Heligman/Pollard模型死亡率表的应用。","authors":"A Rogers, K Gard","doi":"","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>\"The United Nations working manual for MORTPAK-Lite, a software package for demographic measurement, includes among its 16 computer programs a routine (UNABR) that graduates a set of age-specific probabilities of dying...for the standard set of five-year age groups into a set of single-year probabilities of dying. The graduation is effected with an eight-parameter 'law of mortality' known as the Heligman/Pollard model mortality schedule. Model mortality schedules...are useful in mortality analysis and forecasting. Several such applications are illustrated in this article: a historical time-series analysis, a forecasting application, studies of causes of death, spatial differences and sex-specific mortality disaggregated by race.\" The geographical focus is on the United States, England, and Australia.</p>","PeriodicalId":85307,"journal":{"name":"Population bulletin of the United Nations","volume":" 30","pages":"79-105"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1991-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Applications of the Heligman/Pollard model mortality schedule.\",\"authors\":\"A Rogers, K Gard\",\"doi\":\"\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>\\\"The United Nations working manual for MORTPAK-Lite, a software package for demographic measurement, includes among its 16 computer programs a routine (UNABR) that graduates a set of age-specific probabilities of dying...for the standard set of five-year age groups into a set of single-year probabilities of dying. The graduation is effected with an eight-parameter 'law of mortality' known as the Heligman/Pollard model mortality schedule. Model mortality schedules...are useful in mortality analysis and forecasting. Several such applications are illustrated in this article: a historical time-series analysis, a forecasting application, studies of causes of death, spatial differences and sex-specific mortality disaggregated by race.\\\" The geographical focus is on the United States, England, and Australia.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":85307,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Population bulletin of the United Nations\",\"volume\":\" 30\",\"pages\":\"79-105\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1991-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Population bulletin of the United Nations\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Population bulletin of the United Nations","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Applications of the Heligman/Pollard model mortality schedule.
"The United Nations working manual for MORTPAK-Lite, a software package for demographic measurement, includes among its 16 computer programs a routine (UNABR) that graduates a set of age-specific probabilities of dying...for the standard set of five-year age groups into a set of single-year probabilities of dying. The graduation is effected with an eight-parameter 'law of mortality' known as the Heligman/Pollard model mortality schedule. Model mortality schedules...are useful in mortality analysis and forecasting. Several such applications are illustrated in this article: a historical time-series analysis, a forecasting application, studies of causes of death, spatial differences and sex-specific mortality disaggregated by race." The geographical focus is on the United States, England, and Australia.