风险评估和感知。

Andrej Michalsen
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引用次数: 40

摘要

伤害预防工作通常侧重于减少潜在危险活动、设施或设备的风险,如潜水、游泳池或漂浮装置。本文旨在澄清风险评估和风险感知的概念。在统计学上,风险是指不幸事件发生的概率,通常用潜在的经济损失来表示。然而,主观上,风险是指个人对不良事件的可能性和严重性的感知。个人感知似乎受到个人特征和社会文化参数的强烈影响。风险评估有助于形成公共卫生干预措施的基础。这些措施的实施和有效性受到个人风险感知的影响。因此,预防工作需要纳入目标人群对风险认知的决定因素,并有希望影响这些决定因素。考虑到溺水,溺水伤害的危害和发生率都被低估了,而治疗方案通常被高估了。因此,个人风险警觉性需要提高——溺水仍然是一种普遍存在的风险。
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Risk assessment and perception.

Injury prevention efforts often focus on reducing the risk of potentially dangerous activities, facilities or equipment, such as diving, swimming pools or flotation devices. This paper aims to clarify the concepts of risk assessment and risk perception. Statistically, risk denotes the probability of an untoward event, often expressed in terms of potential financial loss. Subjectively, though, risk denotes an individual's perception of the likelihood and the seriousness of an undesirable event. Individual perception appears to be strongly influenced by personal traits and socio-cultural parameters. Risk assessment helps to form the basis for public health interventions. The implementation and effectiveness of these are influenced by individual risk perception. Therefore, preventive efforts need to incorporate and hopefully influence the determinants of risk perception among the target populations. Considering drowning, both hazard and incidence of submersion injuries are underestimated, whereas treatment options are usually overestimated. Consequently, individual risk alertness needs to be improved--drowning remains a ubiquitous risk.

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