下颌骨第三磨牙成熟阶段作为埃及样本中法定成年年龄的指标。

IF 0.7 4区 社会学 Q3 ANTHROPOLOGY Homo-Journal of Comparative Human Biology Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI:10.1127/homo/2021/1344
Fatma Mohamed Hassan, Asmaa Mohammad Moawad, Walaa Samir, Yara Rabia Helaly, Noha Saleh Abu-Taleb
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引用次数: 3

摘要

成年年龄的确定在法医和法律实践中至关重要。本研究旨在通过camiere的第三磨牙成熟指数(I3M)和Demirjian的成熟阶段两种方法来评估埃及人群样本中区分成人和未成年人的下颌第三磨牙成熟阶段;进一步对18岁及以上的I3M截断值< 0.08进行检验。该研究包括350张14-24岁参与者的数字全景x线照片。采用敏感性、特异性、准确性、验后概率、阳性似然比和阴性似然比评价I3M < 0.08和Demirjian分期的有效性。构建受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,检测I3M和Demirjian分期判定成人的总体有效性。I3M < 0.08男性的准确率、敏感性、特异性、验后概率、阳性、阴性似然比分别为88.65%、91.74%、83.67%、90.6%、5.62、0.10,女性为82.76%、80.16%、87.04%、91.03%、6.18、0.23。H期在Demirjian分期中特异性和验后概率最好;男性91.84%、94.06%,女性90.74%、91.84%。下颌第三磨牙的I3M和Demirjian's H期是区分埃及成年人和未成年人的有用指标。在埃及人中,男性的临界值I3M < 0.0625,女性的临界值I3M < 0.104比埃及人的临界值I3M < 0.08表现出更好的辨别能力。
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Mandibular third molar maturation stage as indicator for the legal adult age in an Egyptian sample.

Determination of the age of majority is of critical importance in forensic and legal practice. This study aimed to assess the mandibular third molar maturation stage in discriminating adults and minors in an Egyptian population sample using two methods: Cameriere's third molar maturity index (I3M) and Demirjian's stage of maturation; further, the I3M cut-off value of < 0.08 for age 18 years and older was tested. The study included 350 digital panoramic radiographs of 14-24 years old participants. The effectiveness of I3M < 0.08 and Demirjian's stages were assessed using sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, post-test probability, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to detect the overall effectiveness of I3M and Demirjian's stages to determine adults. I3M < 0.08 showed accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, post-test probability, positive and negative likelihood ratios of 88.65%, 91.74%, 83.67%, 90.6%, 5.62 and 0.10 respectively in males, and 82.76%, 80.16%, 87.04%, 91.03%, 6.18 and 0.23 in females. Stage H showed the best specificity and post-test probability within Demirjian stages; 91.84% and 94.06% in males and 90.74% and 91.84% in females. Both I3M and Demirjian's stage H of the mandibular third molar were useful indicators for discriminating between Egyptian adults and minors. The cut-off value of I3M < 0.0625 in males and I3M < 0.104 in females showed a better discrimination performance than I3M < 0.08 among Egyptians.

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