Computer assisted Doppler waveform analysis and ultrasound derived turbulence intensity ratios can predict early hyperplasia development in newly created vascular access fistula: Pilot study, methodology and analysis.

Objectives: Following surgical creation of arterio-venous fistulae (AVF), the desired outward remodeling is often accompanied by the development of neointimal hyperplasia (NIH), which can stymie maturation and may lead to thrombosis and access failure. The aim of this study was to investigate the feasibility of using a non-invasive test, to detect and quantify the turbulent flow patterns believed to be associated with NIH development.

Design: This was a prospective, observational study. Ultrasound derived turbulence intensity ratios (USTIR) were calculated from spectral Doppler waveforms, recorded from newly formed AVF, and were compared with haemodynamic and structural changes observed during the initial maturation period.

Setting: Measurements were obtained by accredited Clinical Vascular Scientists, at the Royal Free Hospital, London.

Participants: Patients with newly created AVF were invited to participate in the study. A total of 30 patients were initially recruited with 19 participants completing the 10 week study protocol.

Outcome measures: The primary outcome measure was the development of NIH resulting in a haemodynamically significant lesion.The secondary outcome was successful maturation of the AVF at 10 weeks.

Results: Elevated USTIR in the efferent vein 2 weeks post surgery corresponded to the development of NIH formation (P = 0.02). A cut off of 6.39% predicted NIH development with a sensitivity of 87.5% and a specificity of 80%.

Conclusion: Analysis of Doppler waveforms can successfully identify deleterious flow patterns and predict inward luminal remodelling in maturing AVF. We propose a longitudinal follow up study to assess the viability of this technique as a surveillance tool.