人类异常长寿的决定因素:新观点和新发现。

Leonid A Gavrilov, Natalia S Gavrilova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对百岁老人的研究有助于确定导致长寿和避免致命疾病的因素。在这篇文章中,我们考虑了几种方法来研究早期和中年条件对活到老年的影响:使用非亲生亲属作为对照,家庭内部分析,以及从与百岁老人相同的人群中抽取对照。这些方法是用从网上家谱中获得的美国百岁老人、他们的亲属和无关的短命对照的数据来说明的。家庭内部分析显示,一个人出生时的年轻母亲年龄与更高的长寿几率有关。对百岁老人和寿命较短的同龄人(65岁时去世,从同一个在线家谱库中取样)的比较证实,下半年的出生时间可以预测活到100岁。父母的寿命以及一些儿童和中年特征也被证明是异常寿命的重要预测因素。
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Determinants of exceptional human longevity: new ideas and findings.

Studies of centenarians are useful in identifying factors leading to long life and avoidance of fatal diseases. In this article we consider several approaches to study effects of early-life and midlife conditions on survival to advanced ages: use of non-biological relatives as controls, the within-family analysis, as well as a sampling of controls from the same population universe as centenarians. These approaches are illustrated using data on American centenarians, their relatives and unrelated shorter-lived controls obtained from the online genealogies. The within-family analysis revealed that young maternal age at person's birth is associated with higher chances of exceptional longevity. Comparison of centenarians and their shorter-lived peers (died at age 65 and sampled from the same pool of online genealogies) confirmed that birth timing in the second half of the calendar year predicts survival to age 100. Parental longevity as well as some childhood and midlife characteristics also proved to be significant predictors of exceptional longevity.

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来源期刊
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
Vienna Yearbook of Population Research Social Sciences-Demography
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
11
期刊介绍: In Europe there is currently an increasing public awareness of the importance that demographic trends have in reshaping our societies. Concerns about possible negative consequences of population aging seem to be the major force behind this new interest in demographic research. Demographers have been pointing out the fundamental change in the age composition of European populations and its potentially serious implications for social security schemes for more than two decades but it is only now that the expected retirement of the baby boom generation has come close enough in time to appear on the radar screen of social security planners and political decision makers to be considered a real challenge and not just an academic exercise.
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