凯恩斯经济周期数学模型中空间效应对解动力学的影响

IF 0.6 4区 心理学 Q4 PSYCHOLOGY, MATHEMATICAL Nonlinear Dynamics Psychology and Life Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-01
M A Radin, A N Kulikov, D A Kulikov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们考虑凯恩斯经济周期数学模型与空间相互作用的特殊情况。在这个模型中,我们假设宏观经济因素影响一定的地理区域和经济指标。即使经济主体在空间上是外部同质的,除了对时间演化的依赖外,对空间(地理)坐标的依赖也是如此。空间相互作用使我们分析了一个“反应-扩散”型的两个微分方程系统,它取代了两个常微分方程系统。该方法常用于分析复杂非线性系统和宏观经济实体的动力学。对这种数学模型的分析是基于使用动力系统理论的现代方法,表明除了凯恩斯模型的传统版本中使用的那些效应之外,还存在新的非线性效应。在研究这类系统的特性时,我们遇到了均匀经济均衡状态的失稳和某些参数值出现经济周期的问题。同时,具有不同参数选择的同质经济均衡状态的另一种不稳定性出现,这在许多情况下导致空间非同质均衡状态的出现,其特征是相应的经济指标依赖于指定宏观经济实体所在区域的空间(地理)坐标。
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The Influence of Spatial Effects on the Dynamics of Solutions in Keynes' Mathematical Model of the Business Cycle.

We consider the special case of the mathematical model of Keynes' business cycle with the spatial interaction. In this model we assume that macroeconomic factors affect a certain geographical region and economic indicators. The dependence occurs on the spatial (geographical) coordinates in addition to the dependence on the temporal evolution, even if the economic subject is externally homogeneous in space. Spatial interaction led us to analyze a system of two differential equations of the 'reaction-diffusion' type, which replaces a system of two ordinary differential equations. This method is often used to analyze the dynamics of complex nonlinear systems and macroeconomic entities. An analysis of such a mathematical model is based on the use of modern methods of the theory of dynamical systems indicate the presence of new nonlinear effects in addition to those used in the traditional version of the Keynes model. We encountered the loss of stability of the homogeneous economic equilibrium state and the occurrence of economic cycles for some values of the parameters while investigating the characteristics of such a system. Meanwhile, another version of instability of a homogeneous economic equilibrium state with a different choice of parameters occurs, which in many cases leads to the appearance of a spatially non-homogeneous equilibrium state, which is characterized by the dependence of the corresponding economic indicators on the spatial (geographical) coordinates of the area in which the assigned macroeconomic entity is located.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
11.10%
发文量
26
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