经济衰退与复苏。

K S Jomo, Anis Chowdhury
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引用次数: 20

摘要

本次审查为发展中国家应对covid -19引发的衰退和维持发展复苏提供了务实的经验教训。这些衰退是独特的,最初是由供应中断引起的,主要是由于政府实施的“呆在避难所的封锁”。这些因素与收入和需求下降、出口(和进口)下降、大宗商品价格暴跌、旅行和旅游业萎缩、汇款减少和外汇短缺相互作用。报告强调了对就业、福祉和发展的影响,认为政府需要设计全面的救济措施和复苏政策来解决短期问题。这些措施应能防止现金流困境演变成全面的偿付能力危机。发展中国家的能力和能力需要得到加强,以应对长期可持续发展的挑战,而不是回到原来的状态。多边金融机构应以低成本的资金来源作为中介,补充国际货币基金组织的特别提款权,以降低救济和恢复的借款成本。
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COVID-19 Pandemic Recession and Recovery.

This review draws pragmatic lessons for developing countries to address COVID-19-induced recessions and to sustain a developmental recovery. These recessions are unique, caused initially by supply disruptions, largely due to government-imposed 'stay-in-shelter lockdowns'. These have interacted with falling incomes and demand, declining exports (and imports), collapsing commodity prices, shrinking travel and tourism, decreasing remittances and foreign exchange shortages. Highlighting implications for employment, wellbeing and development, it argues that governments need to design comprehensive relief measures and recovery policies to address short-term problems. These should prevent cash-flow predicaments from becoming full-blown solvency crises. Instead of returning to the status quo ante, developing countries' capacities and capabilities need to be enhanced to address long-term sustainable development challenges. Multilateral financial institutions should intermediate with financial sources at low cost to supplement the International Monetary Fund's Special Drawing Rights to lower borrowing costs for relief and recovery.

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