埃塞俄比亚犬媒狂犬病流行情况:2010 年至 2020 年系统回顾和元分析。

Shiret Belete, Melke Meseret, Haileyesus Dejene, Ayalew Assefa
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摘要

背景:埃塞俄比亚是非洲人类狂犬病死亡人数第二多的国家。本系统综述和荟萃分析旨在总结和汇集埃塞俄比亚由犬介导的狂犬病状况的估计值:全面检索了 2010 年至 2020 年间发表的研究报告,并提取了所需信息。由于预计研究之间的异质性较高,因此采用随机效应荟萃分析法估算患病率:狂犬病的汇总估计值为 32%(95% CI:19-46%),单个研究的流行率估计值介于 1% 与 78% 之间。各项研究的权重大致相当,单项权重在 5.19-5.28% 之间。分组分析表明,狂犬病的随机汇总流行率在动物中为 28%(95% CI:0-81%),在人类中为 33%(95% CI:20-47%)。此外,跨地区分组分析表明,亚的斯亚贝巴的综合发病率为 78%,奥罗莫州为 46%,提格雷州为 40%,阿姆哈拉州为 5%。该国东部和南部地区没有任何研究报告被纳入此次荟萃分析:结论:经汇总的狂犬病发病率估计值较高,且各研究地区之间存在差异。因此,应重点开展大规模的狗疫苗接种活动和提高公众意识,以控制狂犬病。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Prevalence of dog-mediated rabies in Ethiopia: a systematic review and Meta-analysis from 2010 to 2020.

Background: Ethiopia accommodates the second largest number of human rabies deaths in Africa. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to summarize and pool estimates of dog-mediated rabies status in Ethiopia.

Methods: Published researches between 2010 and 2020 were comprehensively searched and the required information was extracted. The prevalence was estimated using the random-effects meta-analysis because higher heterogeneity between studies was expected.

Results: The pooled estimate of rabies was 32% (95% CI: 19-46%), with individual study prevalence estimates ranged from 1 to 78%. Studies were approximately weighted equally with individual weight ranging from 5.19-5.28%. Subgroup analysis indicated that the random pooled prevalence of rabies was 28% (95% CI: 0-81%) in animals and 33% (95% CI: 20-47%) in humans. Furthermore, a subgroup analysis across regions indicated that the pooled prevalence was 78% in Addis Ababa, 46% in Oromia, 40% in Tigray and 5% in Amhara regional states. No single study was reported from the country's eastern and southern parts to be included in this meta-analysis.

Conclusion: The estimated pooled rabies prevalence was found high and showed varying among study regions. Therefore, focusing on mass dog vaccination campaigns and public awareness should be implemented to control the disease.

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