发达国家的增长要素:1960-2019年增长核算分解。

IF 1.5 Q2 ECONOMICS Comparative Economic Studies Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-10-28 DOI:10.1057/s41294-021-00170-3
Gilbert Cette, Aurélien Devillard, Vincenzo Spiezia
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文使用了一个全新的原始数据库,为增长会计文献做出了三个方面的贡献:首先,它涵盖了从60年代初到2019年(COVID-19危机之前)的很长一段时间;其次,它在国家层面上分析了一大批经济体(30个加上欧元区);最后,报告特别指出了信息和通信技术(ict)资本以及机器人对经济增长的贡献。我们的研究结果表明,在整个1960-2019年期间,劳动生产率增长的主要驱动力似乎是教育、全要素生产率(TFP)、非ict和非机器人资本深化。信息通信技术资本的相对贡献从2000年代中期开始下降,尽管我们的国家级经济数据集无法估计信息通信技术对全要素生产率的贡献。机器人通过资本深化和TFP对生产率增长的贡献在德国和日本(1975-1995年)、法国和意大利(1995-2005年)以及一些东欧国家(2005-2019年)似乎都很显著。我们的研究结果还证实,至少从1995年开始,大多数国家的全要素生产率有所放缓。这种放缓的主要原因是非ict非机器人资本深化和TFP的贡献下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Growth Factors in Developed Countries: A 1960-2019 Growth Accounting Decomposition.

Using a new and original database, our paper contributes to the growth accounting literature with three original aspects: First, it covers a long period from the early 60's to 2019, just before the COVID-19 crisis; second, it analyzes a large set of economies (30 plus the Euro Area) at the country level; finally, it singles out the growth contribution of information and communications technologies (ICTs) capital as well as robots. Our findings show that the main drivers of labor productivity growth over the whole 1960-2019 period appear to have been education, total factor productivity (TFP), non-ICT and non-robot capital deepening. The relative contribution of ICT capital is found to be declining from the mid-2000s, although our country-level economy dataset does not make it possible to estimate the TFP contribution of ICTs. The contribution of robots to productivity growth through capital deepening and TFP appears to be significant in Germany and Japan in the sub-period 1975-1995, in France and Italy in 1995-2005, and in several Eastern European countries in 2005-2019. Our findings also confirm the slowdown in TFP in most countries from at least 1995 onwards. This slowdown is mainly accounted for by a decrease in the contributions of non-ICT non-robot capital deepening and TFP.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
12.50%
发文量
23
期刊介绍: Comparative Economic Studies is a journal of the Association for Comparative Economic Studies (ACES). It aims to publish papers that address several objectives: that provide original political economy analysis from a comparative perspective, that are an accessible source for state-of-the-art comparative economics thinking, that encourage cross-fertilization of ideas, that debate directions for future research in comparative economics, and that can provide materials and insights that are relevant for teaching, public policy debate and the media. Comparative Economic Studies welcome both submissions that are explicitly comparative and case studies of single countries or regions. The journal is interested in papers that investigate how economic systems respond to economic transitions, crises and to structural change, brought about by globalization, demographics, institutions, technology, politics, and the environment. While maintaining its position as an important outlet for work on Central Europe and the Former Soviet Union, the scope of Comparative Economic Studies encompasses other areas as well (European Union, Asia, Latin America, and Africa).
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