N6-methyladenosine-related non-coding RNAs are potential prognostic and immunotherapeutic responsiveness biomarkers for bladder cancer.

Background: Bladder cancer (BC) is a commonly occurring malignant tumor of the urinary system, demonstrating high global morbidity and mortality rates. BC currently lacks widely accepted biomarkers and its predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine (PPPM) is still unsatisfactory. N6-methyladenosine (m⁶A) modification and non-coding RNAs (ncRNAs) have been shown to be effective prognostic and immunotherapeutic responsiveness biomarkers and contribute to PPPM for various tumors. However, their role in BC remains unclear.

Methods: m⁶A-related ncRNAs (lncRNAs and miRNAs) were identified through a comprehensive analysis of TCGA, starBase, and m6A2Target databases. Using TCGA dataset (training set), univariate and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analyses were performed to develop an m⁶A-related ncRNA-based prognostic risk model. Kaplan-Meier analysis of overall survival (OS) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to verify the prognostic evaluation power of the risk model in the GSE154261 dataset (testing set) from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). A nomogram containing independent prognostic factors was developed. Differences in BC clinical characteristics, m⁶A regulators, m⁶A-related ncRNAs, gene expression patterns, and differentially expressed genes (DEGs)-associated molecular networks between the high- and low-risk groups in TCGA dataset were also analyzed. Additionally, the potential applicability of the risk model in the prediction of immunotherapeutic responsiveness was evaluated based on the "IMvigor210CoreBiologies" data set.

Results: We identified 183 m⁶A-related ncRNAs, of which 14 were related to OS. LASSO regression analysis was further used to develop a prognostic risk model that included 10 m⁶A-related ncRNAs (BAALC-AS1, MIR324, MIR191, MIR25, AC023509.1, AL021707.1, AC026362.1, GATA2-AS1, AC012065.2, and HCP5). The risk model showed an excellent prognostic evaluation performance in both TCGA and GSE154261 datasets, with ROC curve areas under the curve (AUC) of 0.62 and 0.83, respectively. A nomogram containing 3 independent prognostic factors (risk score, age, and clinical stage) was developed and was found to demonstrate high prognostic prediction accuracy (AUC = 0.83). Moreover, the risk model could also predict BC progression. A higher risk score indicated a higher pathological grade and clinical stage. We identified 1058 DEGs between the high- and low-risk groups in TCGA dataset; these DEGs were involved in 3 molecular network systems, i.e., cellular immune response, cell adhesion, and cellular biological metabolism. Furthermore, the expression levels of 8 m⁶A regulators and 12 m⁶A-related ncRNAs were significantly different between the two groups. Finally, this risk model could be used to predict immunotherapeutic responses.

Conclusion: Our study is the first to explore the potential application value of m⁶A-related ncRNAs in BC. The m⁶A-related ncRNA-based risk model demonstrated excellent performance in predicting prognosis and immunotherapeutic responsiveness. Based on this model, in addition to identifying high-risk patients early to provide them with focused attention and targeted prevention, we can also select beneficiaries of immunotherapy to deliver personalized medical services. Furthermore, the m⁶A-related ncRNAs could elucidate the molecular mechanisms of BC and lead to a new direction for the improvement of PPPM for BC.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13167-021-00259-w.