激素替代治疗与女性甲状腺癌的风险:前瞻性队列研究的荟萃流行病学分析。

Jong-Myon Bae
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摘要

目的:许多实验研究报道女性性激素与甲状腺癌的发展有关,因为女性甲状腺癌(TCW)的发病率是男性的3倍。先前的三篇系统综述报告激素替代疗法(HRT)与TCW风险之间没有关联,研究年份相同,均为2014年。目的是通过前瞻性队列研究的荟萃流行病学研究重新评估HRT使用与TCW风险之间的关系。方法:本研究优先使用现有系统评价选择的所有研究,然后从引用研究的列表中获得额外的队列。选择标准定义为前瞻性队列研究,通过多变量分析的调整相对危险度及其95%置信区间(CI)评估HRT与TCW风险之间的关系。随机效应模型荟萃分析用于估计总相对风险(sRR)及其95% CI。采用Egger检验评估发表偏倚;统计学显著性水平设为5%。结果:最终入选9项队列研究。由于存在异质性(I²= 64.3%),采用随机效应模型。随机效应模型荟萃分析的sRR及其95% CI在HRT与TCW风险之间的相关性方面无统计学意义(sRR = 1.11;95% ci, 0.98-1.26)。此外,Egger检验显示无统计学意义(P = 0.91)。结论:根据迄今发表的前瞻性队列研究的随机效应模型荟萃分析,HRT与TCW风险无关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Hormonal Replacement Therapy and Risk of Thyroid Cancer in Women: A Meta-Epidemiological Analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies.

Objectives: Many experimental studies have reported that female sex hormones involve thyroid cancer development because the incidence rate of thyroid cancer in women (TCW) is 3 times higher than in men. Three previous systematic reviews reporting no association between hormone replacement therapy (HRT) and TCW risk had the same search year of 2014. The aim was to reevaluate the association between HRT use and TCW risk using a meta-epidemiological study of prospective cohort studies.

Methods: The study preferentially used all studies selected by the existing systematic reviews and then secured an additional cohort from the list citing the studies. The selection criterion was defined as the prospective cohort study assessing the association between HRT and TCW risk by adjusted relative risk and its 95% confidence intervals (CI) from multivariate analysis. A random-effects model meta-analysis was applied to estimate summary relative risk (sRR) and its 95% CI. A publication bias was evaluated by Egger's test; moreover, the statistical significance level was set at 5%.

Results: Nine cohort studies were finally selected. The random-effect model was applied because of heterogeneity (I² = 64.3%). The sRR and its 95% CI from a random-effects model meta-analysis had no statistical significance in the association between HRT and TCW risk (sRR = 1.11; 95% CI, 0.98-1.26). Additionally, Egger's test revealed no statistical significance (P = 0.91).

Conclusions: HRT is not associated with TCW risk based on the random-effects model meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies published until now.

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